【China.org.cn】 "Japan would certainly lose a military clash with China over the Senkakus," "Stationing the Self-Defense Forces wouldn't protect the Senkaku Islands"... Former Foreign Ministry official Ukeru Magosaki ★2 [07/27]
1 : φ ★ : 2012/07/29(Sun) 21:18:58.64 ID:???
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Former Japanese Foreign Ministry Official: Stationing the Self-Defense Forces Cannot Protect the Senkaku Islands
Ukeru Magosaki, former Director-General of the Intelligence and Analysis Bureau at Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, told the *Global Times* on July 24, 2012: "Japan and China must avoid fighting over the Senkaku Islands. That is my greatest concern." Magosaki, a long-time researcher of East Asian affairs, recently published an article in the *Asahi Shimbun* stating, "It is a fact difficult for the Japanese people to accept, but the Senkaku Islands are not Japan's inherent territory"—a statement that drew significant attention in Japan, China, and across Asia.
◇ Stationing the Self-Defense Forces Cannot Protect the Senkaku Islands
Q: *Global Times*
What is your view on Tokyo Governor Shintaro Ishihara's plan to purchase the Senkaku Islands?
A: Mr. Ukeru Magosaki
I think the idea is extremely ill-conceived. There are two reasons for this.
First, Mr. Ishihara will likely continue to take some form of action to acquire the Senkaku Islands. If that happens, there is no doubt that China will respond—whether diplomatically or militarily. While Mr. Ishihara would certainly not stand idly by in response, he is neither a diplomat nor does he possess fighter jets. There is no point in someone like that igniting the Senkaku Islands issue.
The second reason concerns how to handle disputed territories. The fundamental principle should be for both sides to avoid actions that escalate tension. Yet, Mr. Ishihara's actions do the exact opposite. For two nations involved in a territorial dispute, avoiding conflict is the wisest course of action. Viewed in this light, Mr. Ishihara’s approach is misguided.
Q: Global Times
Do you think there is a possibility of a military clash between China and Japan over the Senkaku Islands issue?
A: Mr. Ukeru Magosaki
I do. Unless both China and Japan are committed to avoiding conflict, a clash will occur.
Therefore, leaders on both sides need to recognize that this is—in the grand scheme of things—a minor issue; they must avoid conflict and actively strive to prevent it.
Q: Global Times
What would be the outcome if a clash between China and Japan over the Senkaku Islands were to occur?
A: Mr. Ukeru Magosaki
If a military clash occurred, Japan would certainly lose. The Senkaku Islands are located near Taiwan, and the Taiwan issue is of paramount importance to China; consequently, the area serves as a frontline for China's defense. In the event of a military conflict, there is a high probability that China would seize the Senkaku Islands. However, even though China possesses formidable military power, it is unlikely to take aggressive action to capture the islands.
This is because ensuring the well-being of its citizens is China's top priority. Securing the people's livelihood requires access to international markets; China must maintain good relations with the global community to ensure it has the markets it needs. This situation will not change over the next twenty years.
Q: Global Times
How should the Senkaku Islands issue be handled to benefit both China and Japan?
A: Mr. Ukeru Magosaki
In 1972, Premier Zhou Enlai told Prime Minister Kakuei Tanaka that China and Japan should "set aside minor differences and seek common ground on major issues."
There is much more that China and Japan should be doing. Rather than focusing on whether the Senkaku Islands belong to China or Japan, fostering a close relationship between the two nations will yield greater benefits for their respective development. Premier Zhou Enlai and Mr. Deng Xiaoping once stated that it is crucial for the peoples of both nations to share the understanding that the mutual reinforcement of close Sino-Japanese relations and economic growth brings about a wonderful life for both populations. In light of this, if a definitive solution to the Senkaku Islands issue cannot be found, then shelving the dispute—following the approach taken by Zhou Enlai and Deng Xiaoping—may well be the best course of action.
Q: Global Times
There are growing calls within Japan to station Self-Defense Forces (SDF) troops on the Senkaku Islands (Senkaku Islands). What is your view on this?
A: Mr. Ukeru Magosaki
I am firmly opposed to it. Stationing the SDF there would not enable the defense of the Senkaku Islands. On the contrary, doing so would likely prompt a corresponding response from China. The priority is to avoid conflict; there is no need for actions that invite it. China.org.cn (Japanese Edition) – July 27, 2012
Source: China.org.cn – 2012-07-27 11:06:13
http://japanese.china.org.cn/jp/txt/2012-07/27/content_26031962.htm
Image: http://images.china.cn/attachement/jpg/site1004/20120727/001ec94a25c5117c4a5b12.jpg
★1 Thread Creation Time: 2012/07/29 (Sun) 18:25:25.16
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TITLE: 【China.org.cn】 "Japan would certainly lose in a Japan-China military clash over the Senkakus," "Stationing Self-Defense Forces would not enable the defense of the Senkaku Islands"... Former Foreign Ministry Official Ukeru Magosaki ★2 [07/27]
DATE: 2012/08/15 02:24
URL: http://awabi.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/news4plus/1343564338/801-900