Ranking of winners and losers in the “Iran War”

As of March 6, 2026, here is my assessment of the outcome of the suddenly erupting "Iran War."

《Winners》

　１. Israel

　２. Saudi Arabia

　３. United States

《Losers》

　１. Russia

　２. China

　３. Japan

　４. South Korea

　５. India

　６. Lebanon

　７. Iran

《The outcome is still unclear》

　　　Ukraine

 At this point, everyone should already understand that Israel is the biggest winner. The question is why the American president was manipulated by the Israeli prime minister. It's unlikely to be simply because "his eldest daughter's husband is Jewish."

 The "Iran War" is sure to cause oil prices to soar for the time being. Oil-producing countries will benefit, at least in the short term.

 In some cases, Russia could also benefit from rising oil prices and become a "winner" (reap the benefits). While China is not dependent on Russia, India and smaller countries in Central Asia and Eastern Europe are dependent on Russian crude oil, which could increase Russia's economic influence and political voice in these countries.

 On the other hand, Russia has been dependent on Iran since the outbreak of the Ukraine war. If a pro-American regime were to emerge in Iran, Russia would lose its means of evading Western economic sanctions.

 If Russia intends to continue the war against Ukraine without agreeing to the return of territories such as the Crimean Peninsula, a complete withdrawal from Ukrainian territory, payment of reparations, or the extradition of war criminals, Russia's "loss" of Iran could be a major disadvantage. The United States would likely take advantage of Russia's weaknesses in ceasefire negotiations for the Ukraine war.

 However, for the United States (and Japan as well), the greatest strategic "enemy" is not Russia, but China. It is unlikely that Russia, which relies on primary industry, will become a superpower in the future. Even if Russia can manufacture terrifying new weapons that seem like something out of science fiction and intimidate neighboring countries, or operate secretly as an arms dealer, it will be difficult for it to unite anti-Western (anti-democratic) forces and demonstrate political and economic leadership.

 From the perspective of the United States (and Japan as well), Russia is likely viewed not as an "enemy" but as a potential partner (for building a China containment network).

 It will depend on the extent to which the Iranian government (president and military) and their successor (perhaps Ayatollah Khamenei's son?) can contain the IRGC and enter into negotiations with the United States, but if the IRGC turns all neighboring countries against each other, neighboring countries "join the war," and Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, Japan and South Korea will become "defeated nations." Soaring prices will become unstoppable.

 This could have an impact on the administration of Prime Minister Takaichi, who enjoys an astonishingly high approval rating. In some cases, it is not impossible that a political situation that pleases the Chinese government could emerge.

 The timing of Israel and the United States' attack on Iran was opportune. Currently, neither Russia nor China can afford to provide military support to Iran, and they are preoccupied with their own affairs. Furthermore, because Iran (the Revolutionary Guard Corps) is allegedly responsible for the deaths of thousands of ordinary people who participated in anti-government demonstrations, the United States can raise the banner of justice and capitalize on the anti-government sentiment (anti-IRGC) among Iranian citizens.

 If the United States were to weaken or neutralize the IRGC and successfully establish a pro-American regime in Iran (regime change), it could be said to have emerged victorious. However, conversely, if Iran (the Revolutionary Guard Corps) puts up a stronger-than-expected resistance, the Republican Party could suffer a defeat in the US midterm elections this fall. The president's approval rating could also fall further.

 India, which relies on Russian crude oil, would be in a difficult position if Russia were to raise oil prices (using them as a bargaining chip to gain war support).

 Lebanon's use of Hezbollah to confront Israel became the cause of its involvement in the "Iran War." The Lebanese people likely view Israel's actions as unreasonable barbarism, as they were subjected to a sudden, unilateral attack by Israel and their civilians were massacred. However, Israel is obsessed with the idea that it "cannot sleep peacefully" unless it exerts coercive control over the entire Middle East region through overwhelming military power, and believes it is waging a "just" war against potential terrorist groups.

 I predict that Iran will successfully navigate this war, minimizing the losses of its "defeat" while maintaining the core of its political system. Iran must be aware that democratic camps exhibit political fragility in a "long-term war" (as was the case with the United States, Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, and Japan after the outbreak of the Ukraine War). Iran will likely seek to engage in a protracted war (a war of attrition) while gradually releasing its war resources, and wait for an opportunity to negotiate with the United States. If the "Iran War" were to drag on, soaring prices, economic turmoil, and tax increases could alienate the public (leading to falling approval ratings) in America's allies, leading to successive changes in government. Iran will likely be aiming for this.

 If that happens, Iran's "defeat" may not be as severe.

 The outcome of the Ukraine war is unclear. If Iran becomes more pro-American, it would deal a blow to Russia. However, as mentioned above, if Iran (the Revolutionary Guard Corps) persists and the war is prolonged, democratic governments are likely to come under pressure from their citizens due to factors such as soaring prices. When pressure to "stop supporting another country's war when we're going through such difficult times" is expressed in the form of approval ratings, democratic governments become weak.

 At present, it is difficult to judge how a war with Iran will affect Ukraine.

 The above "assessment" is made not from the perspective of right or wrong, but from the realities of international politics. 

 Personally, I do not consider Israel's actions to be "just." Not to mention the "accidental bombing" of an Iranian girls' elementary school, massacring nearly 200 female students and teachers, should be considered a war crime. I believe the FBI should investigate this case against all those involved, including CIA operatives. (I believe this can be treated as a murder case, rather than a "violation of international law." In Japanese criminal law theory, "mistake of objectivity" is said to not negate intent.)

 However, no matter what I say, it may not resonate with people who say, "International law has nothing to do with me," or "We live in a world ruled by force."

Killing five yellow birds with one stone：East Asia is caught in the crossfire of the Trump administration's China containment strategy.

 Large castles from Japan's Sengoku period (not mountain castles, but flat castles built on flat land) were surrounded by two moats (Hori): an outer moat (Sotobori) and an inner moat (Uchibori). A moat is an artificially constructed pool of water, similar to a pond or swamp.

 If the outer moat were filled in, it could pose a serious security risk to the castle's main enclosure (Honmaru).

 The most famous example in Japanese history is the Winter Siege of Osaka. Due to a ploy by Tokugawa Ieyasu, Toyotomi Hideyori filled in the outer moat of Osaka Castle. This later forced a major change in the security policy of Osaka Castle (the Toyotomi clan), placing them at a severe disadvantage (Summer Siege of Osaka).

 In modern international security strategies, the outer moat is the economy, while military power has an aspect of the inner moat.

 The United States is implementing a strategy to fill in China's outer moat, using military force to gradually contain China's economy and starve it out.

 Both the Venezuelan "drug" issue and the Iranian "uranium enrichment" issue can be seen as mere pretexts for the United States.

 The problem would be if Iran were to blockade the northern Strait of Hormuz and prevent oil shipments from Iran's neighboring countries. This would likely harm not only China, but the entire East Asia region.

 A US website has published a document quantifying the "world's dependence on the Strait of Hormuz." An excerpt is included below.

https://energynewsbeat.co/hormuz-dependency-by-country-a-critical-energy-chokepoint-under-scrutiny/

The ranking of key countries' import dependencies on oil transiting Hormuz (based on 2024-2025 data, as percentages of total crude oil imports) is as follows:

　Japan: 75%

　South Korea: 60%

　India: 50%

　China: 45-50%

　European countries (this article is unclear whether this refers to EU member states (including Turkey), Western European countries, or all of Europe): 10-20% (varies by country)

　United States: 7-8%

　Four countries (Japan, India, China, and South Korea) account for 75% of Hormuz oil flows.

The dependency on Hormuz LNG is as follows:

　China: 25-30%

　India: 20-25%

　South Korea: 15-20%

　Japan: 10-15%

　Europe: Approximately 10%

　United States: "Negligible" and "Minimal imports from MEG."

 Incidentally, this article makes the following points about the United States:

　「United States: Minimal impact overall, with only 2% of consumption tied to Hormuz.」

 In today's world, energy policies and transportation methods have become diversified, so it may be difficult to fully understand the country's energy dependence on the Middle East based on the figures from this single source. However, it is clear that Japan's dependence on the Middle East is exceptionally high among major countries.

 Furthermore, according to the above statistics, Japan, China, India, and South Korea alone account for 75% of the crude oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz.

 Although not mentioned in the source, the Israeli economy is not dependent on primary or secondary industries and enjoys a geographical advantage, so a closure of the Strait of Hormuz would likely not be of much concern to Israel.

 In addition, it is Japanese companies that drive the Chinese economy. Japanese companies make money by exporting (reimporting) products manufactured in China to Japan or selling them to other countries such as the United States. While the results of these economic activities are reflected as "domestic" in the gross domestic product figures, which can be deceptive (China's GDP is roughly four times that of Japan, but this does not mean that China has an economic power four times that of Japan), the Chinese and Japanese economies are inextricably linked.

 As such, Japan's 75% dependence and China's 50% dependence could be a double whammy for the Japanese economy.

 From the Trump administration's perspective, this is a case of "killing five birds with one stone" (meaning that one stone can shoot down five birds). A single stone thrown with "Epic Fury" can knock down five large birds.

 In short, Japan has failed in its economic security policy. As the saying goes, "expanding your basket" is the basis of security policy. "Expanding your basket" means diversifying. "Diversification" refers not only to the number of countries with which we export and import, but also to transportation methods and energy sources.

 It's too late now to lament the fact that we shut down all of Japan's nuclear power plants, opposed wind power generation (I also oppose wind power generation on land, but not to building it at sea (as long as it doesn't affect fisheries)), and opposed solar power generation (since Japan would have to import solar panels from China, we would indirectly become dependent on China for our energy supply).

 We should have diversified our sources of rare earth supplies and crude oil transportation routes much sooner.

 Japan had no concept of economic security and was only concerned with making money in the moment. We didn't anticipate the worst-case scenario. 

 We will soon pay the price for that.

“一石五鸟”　〜〜东亚卷入特朗普政府的中国遏制战略

　日本战国时代的大型城堡（并非山地城堡，而是建于平地上的城堡）通常被两道护城河环绕：外护城河和内护城河。“护城河”是指人工建造的类似池塘或沼泽的水池。

　填平“外护城河”会对城堡的“本丸”（主城）构成严重的安全威胁。

　日本历史上最著名的例子是大阪冬围。由于德川家康的计谋，丰臣秀赖填平了大阪城的外护城河。这迫使大阪城（丰臣氏）的安保策略发生重大改变，使其处于极其不利的境地。

　在现代国际安全战略中，“外护城河”指的是经济，“军事实力”则指的是“内护城河”。

　美国正在实施一项旨在填平中国“外护城河”的战略，并动用武力逐步遏制中国经济，如同扼杀其于水火之中。

　

　委内瑞拉的“毒品”问题和伊朗的“铀浓缩”问题，不过是美国的借口罢了。

　问题在于，如果伊朗封锁霍尔木兹海峡北岸，阻止石油从邻国运输，那么受损的不仅是中国，整个东亚地区都可能处于不利地位。

　一家美国网站发布了量化“世界对霍尔木兹海峡依赖程度”的数据。以下摘录部分内容。

https://energynewsbeat.co/hormuz-dependency-by-country-a-critical-energy-chokepoint-under-scrutiny/

主要国家对途经霍尔木兹海峡的石油进口依赖度（基于2024-2025年数据，以原油进口总量的百分比表示）如下：

　　日本：75%

　　韩国：60%

　　印度：50%

　　中国：45-50%

　　欧洲国家（本文未明确指出是指欧盟成员国（包括土耳其）、西欧国家还是整个欧洲）：10-20%（因国家而异）

　　美国：7-8%

　　四个国家（日本、印度、中国和韩国）占霍尔木兹海峡石油流量的75%。

对天然气进口（霍尔木兹液化天然气）的依赖程度如下：

　　中国：25-30%

　　印度：20-25%

　　韩国：15-20%

　　日本：10-15%

　　欧洲：约10%

　　美国：“可忽略不计”和“从中东进口量极少”。

　顺便一提，这篇文章指出美国的情况如下：

　「美国：总体影响极小，仅有2%的消费量与霍尔木兹液化天然气相关。」

　鉴于当今能源政策和运输方式的多元化，仅凭这一单一来源的数据可能难以全面了解日本对中东的能源依赖程度。然而，显而易见的是，在世界主要国家中，日本对中东的能源依赖程度异常高。

　此外，仅日本、中国、印度和韩国就占霍尔木兹海峡原油运输量的75%。

　虽然上述文件中未提及，但以色列经济并不依赖于第一产业或第二产业，且拥有地理优势，因此霍尔木兹海峡的封锁可能不会对以色列造成特别大的影响。

　此外，推动中国经济发展的是日本企业。日本企业通过将中国制造的产品出口（再进口）到日本或销往美国等其他国家来获利。就“国内生产总值”（GDP）而言，这些经济活动的成果在中国被计入“国内”数据，这可能导致一些误导性数据（中国的GDP约为日本的四倍，但这并不意味着中国的经济实力是日本的四倍）。然而，可以说日中两国经济“一蓮托生”(＝密不可分）。

　因此，日本７５%的对外依存度和中国５０%的对外依存度都可能对日本经济造成双重打击。

　从特朗普政府的角度来看，这可以看作是“一石五鸟”。一颗“史诗狂怒”投下的石头，击落了五只大鸟。

　简而言之，日本的经济安全政策失败了。正如人们常说的，“扩大经济篮子”是安全政策的基础。“扩大经济篮子”意味着多元化。“多元化”不仅包括进出口伙伴的数量，还包括运输方式和能源来源。

　现在后悔关闭日本所有核电站、反对风力发电（我本人反对陆上风力发电，但我不反对海上风力发电（只要不影响渔业））以及反对太阳能发电（这意味着从中国进口太阳能电池板，从而间接使日本的能源供应依赖于中国）已经太晚了。

　日本本应更早实现稀土供应来源和原油运输路线的多元化。当时的日本对经济安全毫无概念，只顾着在任何情况下赚钱，完全没有预料到最坏的情况。

　未来，我们将为此付出沉重的代价。

Who Should Be Judged？

１．Tokyo Trials (1946)

 Problems with the application of ex post facto law are often raised regarding the Tokyo Trials. However, the "crimes" themselves, as charges (indictments), were vague, incomprehensible, and merely moral norms. If the charges used in the Tokyo Trials were considered "crimes," then most post-World War II American presidents, secretaries of defense and state, military leaders, intelligence officials, White House officials, and senior government officials would be deemed "criminal offenders." If the above "crimes" were applied, how many American presidents could we name who would not be deemed "war criminals"?

 The selection of judges at the Tokyo Trials was also completely unacceptable. Judge Pal was the only decent person. In fact, the Tokyo Trials' verdicts cannot be considered decent legal documents written by decent lawyers.

 The trial procedures were also plagued by repeated aberrations, and were far from due process of law. Even I, who had no connection or vested interest with the "defendants" and studied the trial as just another historical event, felt outraged. It was a method that inspires a sense of justice.

 As was said at the time, the Tokyo Trials had a strong flavor of being a one-sided political spectacle orchestrated by the "victorious nations" (which included the Soviet Union). Conservative commentators on the Allied side may be quite brazen and boast that "that's fine."

 On the other hand, to this day, I have never come across an article or book that rationally explains the legal legitimacy of the Tokyo Trials, both in terms of substantive law and procedural law.

 This is our starting point.

２．Hitler (der Führer)

 If Hitler had been captured alive, could he have been found guilty as a "war criminal"? Many people will surely construct a forceful argument for him being a "political prisoner." However, the question remains as to whether he can be found guilty of criminal offenses in legal theory. Where, who, and under what procedures have the right to judge? Both procedural and substantive legal issues are at stake.

 One could also argue that "human activities are inseparable from politics. Even if we cannot guarantee purely modern legal legitimacy, if a political spectacle called a trial can serve as an opportunity to move the world in a positive direction, then that is not a bad thing." For those who are satisfied with a view of rewarding good and punishing evil, that may be fine.

 However, at the time, it was extremely difficult to explain the legal legitimacy of such a case.

３． Former President Truman

 After former President Truman had left office and retired from public life, if we borrowed a time machine from Doraemon, raided his home, arrested him, brought him to Japan, and put him on "trial," could we find him "guilty" of a criminal offense? Like former President Roosevelt, he committed various acts of mass murder, including indiscriminate city bombings and attacks on civilian ships like the Seikan Ferry, but it is believed that he would not at least deny ordering the dropping of the atomic bombs.

 Since the Meiji era, Japanese criminal law has adopted the "personal principle" when it comes to the crime of murder. "Personal principle" is the antonym of "Territorial principle," and is the idea of ​​punishing people based on their attributes. Simply put, when a "Japanese national" is murdered, Japanese jurisdiction applies (Japan can exercise its state power to arrest and detain suspects and have them appear in court) no matter where on Earth the crime occurred, what nationality the perpetrator is, or where on Earth the perpetrator hides (if the perpetrator flees to a place outside of Japanese territory, the statute of limitations stops running from that point on).

 Setting aside the question of whether there is "evidence" (physical evidence) that former President Truman ordered the dropping of the atomic bomb, given his character, I believe he would confess. If former President Truman had confessed or turned himself in, it would not be impossible to find him guilty of murder under Japanese criminal law.

 But, a confession alone is not enough to prove guilt, so A confession must be corroborated by other evidence (corroborating evidence), such as witnesses (corroboration principle).

 If Japanese police officers were to suddenly attack and detain him in another country, this would constitute an illegal act under procedural law (Criminal Procedure Law). There is a "theory" that such an illegal act can be "cured" by some subsequent action, but this is a minority "heterodox theory."

 Therefore, from a substantive law perspective, it is possible that he could be found guilty. Also, from a procedural law perspective, if former President Truman had come to Japan of his own volition, turned himself in at a Japanese police station, and confessed to the crime, it is possible that he could be found guilty of "murder."

 However, whether the above "crimes" can be called "war crimes" is a separate issue.

４．General Noriega (Commander-in-Chief of the Panamanian Armed Forces)

 In 1989, General Noriega launched a military coup-like operation shortly after losing the Panamanian presidential election. However, a few days later, U.S. forces invaded Panama, and the DEA arrested General Noriega.

 President Trump's aides may be using the kidnapping of General Noriega as a model for their own actions. However, the above case is special event.

 General Noriega had received funding from the CIA since the 1950s and provided information to the CIA through the Panamanian intelligence service. After seizing power in the military, he acted as something of a double agent, cooperating with Libya (Colonel Gaddafi) and Cuba (Castro). His actions, which could be seen as a betrayal of the CIA, led to an invasion by former CIA Director President Bush (Sr.).

 General Noriega never held political office. However, because he controlled the military and was a de facto dictator, there was a political need to remove him from Panama. The United States would find it unacceptable to allow a military dictator who secretly allied with Libya and Cuba to control the Panama Canal. 

 It is the same as: Japan would also find it unacceptable for China to control the Taiwan Strait or the Strait of Malacca.

 General Noriega's trials were held in the United States, France (in absentia), and Panama. He was found guilty in all cases and served his sentence.

 General Noriega's trial was also a case in which the legal legitimacy was highly questionable, but it was a case of strong geopolitical necessity.

５．Former President Mišelovic

 Even if the actions of political leaders could be considered political crimes (political responsibility), it was difficult to charge them with "criminal guilt." Converting political responsibility into criminal responsibility was difficult from the perspective of substantive law, due process, and proof. 

 In 1993, the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia was established in The Hague, Netherlands, by a UN Security Council resolution. Because the Yugoslav Civil War began in 1991, there were issues of ex post facto law, just like the Tokyo and Nuremberg Trials. At the time, there was no permanent International Criminal Court.

 In addition to the issues of ex post facto law, the Tokyo and Nuremberg Trials charged abstract "crimes," violating modern criminal law principles such as the principles of specificity, legality, responsibility, and proportionality.

 In the case of the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia, on the other hand, the crime of genocide was established during the civil war. The Srebrenica massacre, in which Serb forces killed approximately 8,000 people, occurred in 1995.

 The trial of former President Milosevic began in 2001. The death penalty is not a statutory punishment. This was the first case in which a former head of state was tried for criminal responsibility by an international court, but former President Milosevic died during the trial.

 The International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia was established pursuant to a UN resolution, but there is no denying that it contains a contradiction. Leaders of major powers are not held responsible for war crimes, while leaders of "small" countries are.

 Simply put, the above situation violates the "principles of proportionality" and "principles of equality," general principles of modern criminal jurisprudence. It raises the question, "Why is this person being treated as a criminal while that other person is not？"

 As things stand, this issue will always haunt us.

６．Former President Saddam Hussein

 Those who deny that the Iraq War (2003) was an act of aggression are now thought to be in the minority. While former President Bush (son) praised himself in a book he wrote after leaving office, former Secretary of State Powell did at least admit his mistakes in his autobiography (the Japanese translation of the book I read while he was alive).

 However, Mr. Powell does not offer any apologies to the Iraqi people in his book. Instead, he wrote something along the lines of: I was led to believe incorrect information due to an intelligence error. Either way, if we had left Hussein alone, he would have ended up doing something bad, so in the end, it was correct for the United States to invade Iraq, capture him, and eliminate him.

 President Obama also used the term "Iraq invasion" in his speeches from the beginning of his term.

 The International Criminal Court was established in 2002, the year before the Iraq War. The Court's penalties are, in principle, prison sentences of up to 30 years. Life imprisonment is possible when "the extreme gravity of the crime and the individual circumstances of the offender warrant it."

 Given Mr. Hussein's age at the time, a 30-year sentence would have been sufficient. However, it would be difficult for the International Criminal Court to criminally punish a head of state who was detained in a war of aggression based on a unilateral US accusation. Rather, it was the US president, vice president, and secretary of defense who invaded Iraq and killed so many civilians that the International Criminal Court should have criminally punished.

 In the Hussein trial, President Hussein, who was detained by US forces that invaded Iraq, was tried in an Iraqi court and sentenced to death for the "crime of genocide" against the Iraqi people. Perhaps the US needed to sentence Hussein to death rather than 30 years in prison in order to justify its war of aggression.

 I remember somewhere that a US soldier who accompanied Hussein during his trial wrote, "He had a sense of humor and chatted with me amiably. He should have been sentenced to life in prison (instead of death)."

 But that's not the issue.

 This trial also requires an acrobatic and outlandish "theory" to justify it from a legal perspective.

７．Decapitation Operation

 As mentioned above, criminally prosecuting and convicting politicians, especially top leaders, poses both theoretical and practical challenges.

 In Japanese criminal law, theories such as the theory of conspiracy and joint principal offense and the theory of indirect principal offender are used when trying corporate crime and Yakuza bosses (For a recent example, see the cases of Taishū-kai (2025) and Kudo-kai (In 2021, Mr.Satoru Nomura was sentenced to death by the district court. In 2024, the original sentence was overturned on appeal and he was sentenced to life imprisonment. His sentence is currently being heard by the Supreme Court.)).

 However, these theories are difficult to prove.

 As a result, some countries' dictators are eager to use the "decapitation operation." During the Ukraine War, Russian forces advanced directly toward the Ukrainian presidential palace immediately after launching their invasion. People around the world were astonished by the shoddy "operation" of Russian tanks traveling in a line (a traffic jam) on a single, narrow road running through Ukraine's vast, dense forests, complete with a long line of tank wrecks.

 Apparently, the Russian "decapitation operation" was thwarted by the efforts of Ukrainian special forces.

 Now, the Chinese president is plotting the same thing, attempting to assassinate the president of Taiwan. Learning from the Russian military's failures, Xi Jinping has devised a meticulous strategy and is providing specific training to the Chinese military.

 In Japan, police also conducted "operations" targeting leaders of motorcycle gangs and "Hangure" gangs some time ago. Such groups tend not to develop individuals with strong leadership and unifying power, and they often collapse quickly when they lose their charismatic leader.

 However, Taiwan and Ukraine are democracies and members of the liberal world. Even if their current leaders were to suddenly die from illness or an accident, it is unlikely that the will to resist among the people of Taiwan or Ukraine would weaken. Moreover, if their leaders were killed by an agent of an invading nation, it would likely become a "Remember ____！" situation, which would have the opposite effect.

 Lack of such basic insight is one of the characteristics of a dictator.

８．President Putin

 President Putin is wanted by the International Criminal Court as a "war criminal."

 For the Ukrainian people, it would be unsatisfactory if not only the Russian president and foreign minister, but all military and government officials were punished.

 However, last year, he boldly visited China and watched a military parade alongside the Chinese president. They called it a "victory against totalitarianism," not a "victory for totalitarianism."

 If President Putin visits a country that is not obligated to arrest and extradite criminals to the International Criminal Court, Ukrainian, American, or British special forces could detain and arrest him and potentially prosecute him. 

 However, he likely learned a lot from General Castro, who evaded the US military's "decapitation operations" hundreds of times, so he is unlikely to make such a mistake.

９．President Nicolás Maduro

 President Maduro's arrest is a blatant decapitation operation, with absolutely no legal justification.

 The world knows that President Trump's invasion of Venezuela is aimed at acquiring resources such as crude oil and rare earths. People all over the world know that "drugs" is nothing more than an excuse.

 Former President Saddam Hussein granted China oil drilling rights, but was unwilling to grant them to the United States or the United Kingdom. Japan was granted oil drilling rights along the border with Iraq by Iran, but received complaints from the United States, which has no diplomatic relations with Iran.

 Venezuela is also said to export 85% of its crude oil to China.

 President Trump is unlikely to be interested in legal legitimacy. He would likely be satisfied if he could resolve the issue politically in one fell swoop.

 President Maduro will be tried by a US court.

 The United States is a rare country in the world where courts (on behalf of politicians) realize and promote political justice.

 In most countries, it's the other way around. In most countries, courts play a role in giving the green light to the misdeeds of political and administrative power. In most countries, the courts, masquerading as "neutral third parties" under the separation of powers, ratify the actions of political power and strengthen political and administrative enforcement.

 However, the American judicial culture is unique, respecting "access to justice" and "due process."

 On the other hand, the United States is also a country where democratic control extends to a strong degree to the courts, a non-democratic branch of government (jury system, elections). In this respect, American judicial procedures differ from those of other developed countries.

 The prosecution argues, "Because there was fraud in the Venezuelan presidential election, the United States does not recognize Maduro as president. Because he is not president, he is not entitled to immunity. Therefore, even if US special forces suddenly raided his home in Venezuela and arrested him, it would still be a legitimate criminal procedure." 

 This is an absurd claim and is not something a lawyer should say. It is the sorrow of a civil servant.

 If the judge in charge of the trial were of normal intelligence, President Maduro would be found innocent. If the judge pandered to those in power and convicted President Maduro by twisting around absurd arguments, it would be like a religious trial for some kind of unusual new cult.

 Conversely, Venezuela could try President Trump and the members who attacked President Maduro's home for arrest, imprisonment, property damage, abduction, and carrying weapons under Venezuela's criminal code. Because it was a criminal act committed within the jurisdiction of Venezuela, this would be legal. In that case, a guilty verdict would be certain (Photos and videos of the attackers have been released).

 With this incident, President Trump has tarnished Maria Machado's Nobel Peace Prize. While she praised the incident, President Trump has shown a willingness to abandon Machado and negotiate with the interim president. Even if President Trump were to launch a "second invasion," kidnap Interim President Rodriguez, and install Machado as president, would the Venezuelan people be proud of her and their democracy？

 It is difficult to establish democracy that is imposed by the military force of another country. Iraq is a prime example of this.

 In the future, Venezuela is expected to become like a US colony or autonomous territory.

Japanese Politicians' Sexual Desires and Educational Background

【Incident ① below】

 The "incident" involving the Mayor of Maebashi (female, 43) having repeated "secret rendezvous" with a subordinate (senior official) at Maebashi City Hall in a love hotel has been causing a huge uproar in Japan since last year. It has been widely reported not only in tabloid magazines but also on television. It has also caused a huge uproar in the Maebashi City Council. Eventually, the mayor resigned and a new election was called.

 From the beginning, I wondered, "Why are the Japanese monkeys making such a fuss about something like this?" This "incident" is not a case of power harassment, sexual harassment, or a romantic relationship that became complicated and led to trouble between a man and a woman. There are no financial issues, and it is not a case of abuse of authority (such as promoting a male subordinate). This "love hotel rendezvous incident" is a simple case of workplace romance.

 However, since the middle-aged subordinate was married, it is considered an "adultery," and the Japanese monkeys are making a big fuss about it as a pink scandal.

 In fact, the mayor's response was poor. Was she no people around? At the press conference, the mayor admitted that she occasionally met with a male subordinate at a love hotel, but repeatedly stated that they didn't have sex.

 However, in Japan, this is 500% impossible. There are no Japanese macaques in Japan that go to love hotels and don't mate.

 Rather than telling a ridiculous lie that even elementary school students wouldn't believe, she should have simply said, "I loved him. We had sex because we loved each other. There were no problems between us and we had a good romantic relationship. I feel sorry for (the man's) wife." That way, there would be no room for further attack.

 However, Japanese women are completely unable to do this. It's safe to say that there are no Japanese women who can confidently make statements like the one above in public. It's probably because they're embarrassed. Japanese women continue to insist, "I didn't do it. I didn't do it. I didn't do it. I definitely didn't have sex." 

 This is why male monkeys all over Japan find it amusing and continue to make a fuss.

 While the mayor was the target of this latest "adultery incident," similar "incidents" involving female members of parliament are occasionally "scooped" in Japan. There are too many to list here, and I don't remember them all.

 In past cases, female members of parliament who had "secret rendezvous in hotels with men who have wives and children" have, without exception, made the excuse, "I didn't do anything. I just met the man in a hotel." Even when their photos are taken in hotels by weekly photo magazines or Bunshun Bazooka (although it was secretly taken...), Japanese women always insist, "I didn't have sex."

 It seems that the perception that "romance is shameful" still lingers among Japanese women.

 By the way, what exactly is a "love hotel"? This is a "hotel" unique to Japan, and is a favorite place for Japanese macaques to mate. They can be found all over Japan.

 If you're a foreign couple visiting Japan, it might be interesting to try staying at a love hotel. Love hotels are amusement facilities with a variety of unique features, so you may become a better memory of your trip than a business hotel, Japanese capsule hotel (though this "hotel" is also unique to Japan...), or youth hostel. You might even be able to take photos and show off to your friends.

 However, if you're with children or two men, you might be denied entry. Homosexuality is not accepted in Japan, and parents with children can be strict (see the Agnes controversy).

【Incident ② below】

 In Japan, suspicions of politicians falsifying their academic credentials have been frequently reported for the past several decades. It makes us wonder, "Are there still people who do this?"

 Former Prime Minister Kakuei Tanaka only graduated from elementary school, but he was called a "computer-equipped bulldozer" and his quick thinking was widely recognized.

 However, in a "mikoshi society," it is extremely difficult to compete on merit. In a Japanese village, if someone did something like that, they would be treated as a "nail that sticks out," ganged up on, and crushed.

 This is one of the reasons for a social culture that relies on "educational background" rather than achievements, ability, motivation, or spirit.

【Incident ③ below】

 Under Japanese law (Local Autonomy Act), if a local assembly (city, town, village, or prefectural assembly) is voted no confidence in the head of a local government, the assembly can be dissolved. The head of the local government can also resign, hold a new election, and run for re-election. The head of the local government has a choice.

 However, if the assembly votes no confidence again after the election, the governor cannot "resign" or "dissolve" the assembly and will be "lost in his/her job." In company terms, this would be like being "fired," so it carries a great political risk.

 The head is free to run again in the election (second election) after "losing his/her job" (freedom of candidacy is guaranteed under the Constitution, so he/she can run as many times as he/she likes). But, if they lose the election, their political career is effectively over, so the political risk is great.

【Incident ④ below】

 While the degree of this may vary, the same trend may be seen in every country, but it is only in a very small percentage of cases that a courageous woman seeks outside advice (which requires providing "evidence," posing the risk of secondary, tertiary, or quaternary victimization), and the case is not hushed up at the scene and becomes public.

 In Japan, most "scandals" involving those with money and power, or government offices, schools, medical institutions, or police, are hushed up at the scene.

〘The Mayor Issue Spreads Controversy〙

Troubles caused by mayor scandals are occurring one after another across the country. Conflicts with local assemblies over the mayor's future are intensifying, often leading to stagnation in local administration. We have compiled news related to mayors causing controversy.

① 【Maebashi City, Gunma Prefecture - Maebashi Mayor Akira Ogawa ＝ Love Hotel Secret Meeting Issue】

 Mayor Ogawa (♀, 43) was caught having a secret meeting with a married male subordinate at a love hotel.

 Mayor Ogawa admitted to meeting the man more than 10 times at love hotels in and around Maebashi. She apologized, saying, "While there was no romantic relationship, it was a thoughtless act that led to misunderstandings."

 The Maebashi City Council asked the mayor to "make a prompt decision on her future." However, Mayor Ogawa announced her intention to continue in office, taking a 50% pay cut.

 When the City Council protested and decided to vote on a no-confidence motion, Mayor Ogawa reversed course and submitted her resignation to the City Council Speaker on December 25, 2025. The Maebashi mayoral election will be held on January 12, 2026. Mayor Ogawa has announced that she will run again.

② 【Itō City, Shizuoka Prefecture - Mayor Takubo Maki - Educational Background Falsification Issue】

 Mayor Takubo (♀) listed her highest level of education as "graduated from Toyo University."

 Miss.Takubo explained, "I discovered that I was expelled, not graduated." However, after facing backlash from the city council, she initially expressed her intention to resign as mayor.

 However, Mayor Takubo reversed her intention to resign and announced that she would continue in office. 

 In response, the city council unanimously passed a vote of no confidence against Mayor Takubo. 

 Mayor Takubo also dissolved the city council in retaliation, leading to a city council election. 

 However, the new council passed another vote of no confidence, and this time Mayor Takubo lost her position.

 The mayoral election was held on December 14, 2025, and Takubo ran again, but was defeated by former city council member Sugimoto Kenya.

③ 【Nanjo City, Okinawa Prefecture - Mayor Kageharu Koja ＝ Sexual Harassment Issue】

 Mayor Koja (♂) was found guilty by a third-party committee for sexually harassing female city employees (including kissing them and touching their thighs).

 Mayor Koja denies the allegations, but audio recordings were also found of him trying to silence the female employees.

 The city council passed a vote of no confidence in Koja. However, Mr. Koja rebelled and dissolved the council.

A city council election was held, and Mayor Kageharu Koja was re-elected.

 However, the new city council also passed a vote of no confidence, resulting in Koja's loss of office.

 The second mayoral election was scheduled for December 21, 2025, but Koja did not run.

④ 【Fukui Prefecture Governor Tatsuji Sugimoto ＝ Suspected Sexual Harassment Message Issue】

 Governor Sugimoto (♂) sent inappropriate messages that constituted sexual harassment to a female employee.

 The female employee reported the matter to an external Fukui Prefectural office, and the prefecture began an investigation.

 Governor Sugimoto admitted to sending similar messages to other female employees on November 25, 2025. He then stated, "I will resign from my position as governor in order to minimize the chaos in prefectural government and ensure that prefectural government is restarted under a new system as soon as possible." 

 A gubernatorial election is scheduled, but Sugimoto has denied running in a re-election.

👉️ Hyogo Prefecture Governor Motohiko Saito Related News

https://www.jiji.com/jc/v7?id=kubicho_problem

Which country is yours? "Thank you, Mrs. Takaichi!" or "Don't come to my country; it's a nuisance!"

  As expected, the Communist dictatorship has effectively imposed travel restrictions on ordinary Chinese citizens and is using tourism revenue from Chinese people in Japan as a diplomatic card.

 The more this rogue state struggles, the more it cements its image as a villain around the world.

 Taiwan has been an independent nation for 76 years, and there's no way the West would tolerate an infringement of Taiwan's sovereignty. Every time we say something, some in the Chinese government get enraged and start a fuss, so we merely say "China is one" as diplomatic etiquette.

 However, and we don't want them to misunderstand this, no one has ever said that "Taiwan's sovereignty belongs to China (mainland)." Even during negotiations to normalize diplomatic relations between Japan and China, Japan made no such statement or promise. There is no such wording in the Treaty of Peace and Friendship between Japan and the People's Republic of China.

 We merely acknowledge China's claim that "China is one."

 Neither Japan, the United States, nor Western countries have ever said that "Taiwan is a part of China."

 From a geopolitical strategic perspective, Japan cannot allow Chinese forces to invade eastward through the Taiwan Strait. This has remained unchanged since the Meiji Restoration. It is natural that a "Taiwan emergency" is also a "Japanese emergency." It is Japan's natural mission and obligation to protect the inviolable sovereignty of the Taiwanese citizen from the clutches of a dictatorial state.

 In reality, there are very few people in Western countries who seriously believe that Taiwan is not an independent sovereign nation. No politician has ever said that "Taiwan is a part of China (mainland)." Not even left-wing political parties such as the Communist Party or the Social Democratic Party, or their associates, have made such a statement.

 It would be troublesome if the Chinese government made a fuss, so as a Japanese-style "pretense (Tatemae or 建前)" (although I personally hate this "Japanese-style Tatemae"...), they are simply acknowledging that "China is 'one'." The Chinese government should not be mistaken.

 Regardless, when some kind of dispute arises in relations between China and Japan, has there ever been a single incident in the past 80 years in which unrelated ordinary Chinese visitors (tourists, businessmen, international students) or Chinese residents in Japan (overseas Chinese (華僑), entertainers, athletes (Sadaharu Oh (王貞治) was actually originally a mainland Chinese citizen, not a Taiwanese citizen)) have suddenly been attacked, been verbally abused, beaten, murdered, or raped by Japanese people on the street, in a public facility, on a train, in a restaurant, etc?. 

 On the other hand, it is China that has repeatedly committed despicable crimes targeting women and children at every opportunity. Just recently, a Chinese man murdered an elementary school student attending a Japanese school in China to mark the 80th anniversary of the victory in the War of Resistance against Japan.

 But that dictatorial country has issued an order to "not go to Japan." As a result, it is predicted that Chinese tourists will flock to Hong Kong, Taiwan, and South Korea.

 According to some data, China is by far the country in the world with the highest travel expenditures (money spent on travel, including accommodation, transportation, tickets, food and drink, souvenirs, etc.) .

 Japan, by the way, is in 25th place, the sad reality for an island nation.

 One theory is that Japan's losses will be several trillion yen. It is thought that this enormous amount of money (spent by Chinese tourists) will flow to neighboring Hong Kong, Taiwan, and South Korea.

 Normally, one would think, "Hong Kongers, Taiwanese people, and South Koreans would all be happy to have reap the benefits. They may be grateful to Prime Minister Takaichi."

 However, it seems that, on the contrary, they are disliked. Chinese tourists are described as "bombs." They are told, "Don't come to our country. No thanks. Please don't cause us any more trouble."

 I don't know the behavior of Chinese tourists who visit Korea, Hong Kong, or Taiwan, so I can't comment.

 As far as I can see, Chinese tourists are no problem at all in Japan.

 In the town where I live, there are many Koreans, Taiwanese, Chinese (I'm really bad at listening to Chinese, so I can't tell the difference between Taiwanese, Hong Kongers, and Chinese), South Asians, Iranians, and so on, and without exception, they are all polite. Only a very small number of white people (nationality unknown) give us challenging, contemptuous looks.

 Without exception, it is Japanese macaques who are behaving rudely or doing strange things.

 Have you ever seen a "polite penguin-like Japanese Monkey"?

 The Chinese habit of "pooping anywhere" has long been well known. During the Sino-Japanese War (1937-1945), when Japanese imperial army also conquered and occupied urban areas in China, this was the problem.

 To begin with, Chinese homes didn't have toilets. So Japanese soldiers had no choice but to "Poop in the open field". Even Japanese military commanders did so.

 However, in Japan, we don't often see Chinese people who "Poop everywhere", although there are stories of Chinese sex workers pooping in the common hallways of their apartment buildings.

 The only person who post crazy things and behave like gangsters are a few high-ranking officials in the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

 We welcome ordinary Chinese tourists and international students, as well as other visitors. I would like more Chinese people to come to Japan for travel, training, study, business, sports, and more.

 And I hope Chinese visitors will teach Japanese Monkeys, like penguins, human "etiquette."

【China】 Tensions in Japan-China relations are changing travel destinations for Chinese people. Korean media articles are flooded with comments like, "Don't come!"

1 ★: 2025/11/21 (Fri) 07:14:43.98 ID:RG0QeM9I.net

 China's backlash against Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Diet response regarding a Taiwan emergency is escalating day by day. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs has strongly urged Chinese citizens to "refrain from traveling to Japan in the near future." Since November 15, more than 491,000 airline tickets from China to Japan have been canceled.

 Meanwhile, South Korea and Hong Kong are gaining attention as alternative travel destinations for Chinese people. However, both countries appear to be confused.

 The Korean newspaper Chosun Ilbo recently ran an article headlined, "Going to South Korea instead of Japan... The choice of Chinese who canceled their trips to Japan."

 According to the Chosun Ilbo, following Prime Minister Takaichi's remarks in the National Assembly, a wave of travel reservations to Japan were canceled in China, with South Korea emerging as an alternative destination.

 In fact, according to a recent release by the Chinese travel platform "Quiri (去日)," South Korea became China's most popular overseas travel destination over the weekend of the 15th and 16th. South Korea overtook Japan, which had previously held the top spot.

 However, the comments section of the newspaper article has been flooded with posts from Korean netizens. Comments include, "No! Don't come!" "Only travelers with dignity are welcome. Those who can't even respect the rules should not come," "In South Korea, Chinese people spit, poop, and cause trouble," "Don't come to South Korea. Go to another country," "Go to Japan," and "Takaichi has dropped a bomb on South Korea."

 Additionally, Taiwanese media outlet Sanlih News Network (三立新聞網) recently ran an article with the headline, "Hong Kong People Are Crying! 'Hong Kong May Be in a Serious Situation.'"

 Sanlih News quoted an article from Hong Kong media, which said that in recent years, mainland Chinese tourists' affection for Japanese food culture has far surpassed that of local Hong Kong residents. As restrictions on travel to Japan have created a "Japan loss" for Chinese people, there is a risk that the number of Chinese tourists heading to Hong Kong to try ingredients air-shipped from Japan will increase sharply.

 China's suspension of imports of Japanese seafood may accelerate the increase in Chinese tourists to Hong Kong.

https://www.tokyo-sports.co.jp/articles/-/367477

Establishing a Japanese version "ＣＩＡ？"

  I'm not a right-wing Japanese person; in fact, I've felt for over 20 years that Japan needs a powerful intelligence agency. While I think it's too late now, it might be better to have one than not to have one at all.

 However, the norm of "necessity" and the ability to "operate it properly" are two different things.

 I believe that today's jellyfish-like people, with the faces of chimpanzees and the minds of cockroaches, lack the ability to properly operate an intelligence agency. 

 What happens when people who lack the "ability" to handle things properly brandish the "norm" of "it's necessary! We should do it! We must do it!"? 

 We all know this from experience.

 It's also difficult to draw the line between "intelligence," "public safety," and "national defense" organizations.

 From its inception, the FBI conducted illegal "intelligence" activities. Secretary Hoover investigated all those involved in American "power" and discovered their "weaknesses." 

 It is well known that he "investigated" Kennedy's ties to the Mafia and his "affair" with Marilyn Monroe (a secret rendezvous in the White House) and used them as "weaknesses," and that he even installed listening devices in President Kennedy's bedroom to eavesdrop on his nighttime "affairs."

 After Hoover died, having remained in his "director's" chair for an unusually long period of time, President Nixon ordered the destruction of all the vast amount of material Hoover had left behind.

 Nixon's words at the time are also famous.

 In a country that was a leader in democracy and freedom, one person had held the power of "information" that was so great that it could topple the nation for such a long period of time.

 It is hard to imagine that the Japanese of today, who have become like jellyfish, spineless monkeys, could do something that even the United States and Britain struggle to achieve.

 Considering the character, disposition, life experiences, education, communication skills, and sensibilities of today's "Japanese," I would venture to guess that there's a 90% or higher chance that a Japanese version "CIA" will turn into the "Stasi." At best, I think it'll become like the "Tokkō."

 Before World War II, Japan's intelligence activities were concentrated in mainland China. The South Manchuria Railway Investigation Department and the Kantō Army's (or Kwantung Army's) various special agencies (Tokumu organ) were primarily responsible for this role. This was related to the Imperial Army's plan to control the continent.

 However, within Japan (to be precise, Korea was also part of Japan's "inland" territory; Taiwan and Karafuto were legally (formally) classified as "overseas territories"), security was too lax, and foreign spies were operating in secret (just as it is today).

 The Sorge Affair sent shock waves through Japan's military and political circles. Sorge was fluent in Japanese and had skillfully infiltrated the centers of power among Japanese politicians and army officials, allowing Japan's military secrets to be leaked to the Soviet Union. Japan's leaders were all caught off guard.

 More than going to war, information is the most important weapon for avoiding war or for ending a war.

 The Nomonhan Incident is a good example of this from modern Japan's experience.

 At the time of this armed conflict, neither the Kantō Army (Kwantung Army), the Imperial Army General Staff, nor the government received accurate information. It's true that the Japanese Army's mechanization lagged behind that of the Soviet Army, but the Kantō Army (Kwantung Army), supported by extraordinary mental strength and skillful tactics, continued to put up a tenacious resistance and was not defeated by the Soviet army. In fact, it was winning.

 However, incorrect information was reaching the Japanese government.

 As a result, Stalin at the time was both relieved and pleased. Stalin had accurate information about the battle situation.

 It was more than 50 years after the aforementioned armed conflict, when the Soviet Union collapsed and confidential documents from the Soviet era were made public, that Japan obtained the correct information.

 As I was painfully aware 14 years ago during the 3/11 disaster (Fukushima nuclear accidents), this insular nation is far too ignorant about information.

 On the other hand, I think it was admirable that the Soviet Union (now Russia) stored and preserved the aforementioned confidential documents for over 50 years, and then made them public half a century later. 

 If the situation were reversed and Japan were in the position, all inconvenient documents would have been destroyed.

 Furthermore, Japan had a bitter experience with the issues surrounding President Franklin Roosevelt(FDA) and Secretary of State Hull.

 As is now clear from the Venona files, they were surrounded by many Comintern spies (who were, of course, legitimate American citizens) who carried out operations favorable to the Soviet Union. While the US government's laxity was one issue, Japan's intelligence activities to grasp the situation at the center of American power were insufficient.

 As a result, President Roosevelt turned down Prime Minister Konoe's proposal for a Japan-US summit meeting and took the worst possible measure: an oil embargo on Japan (Japan was dependent on the US for oil at the time).

 Meanwhile, the Japanese also underestimated Roosevelt's reaction to the occupation of southern French Indochina. Just as they had assumed that Roosevelt would not see a problem with the occupation of northern Indochina at the request of the Vichy government, the Japanese were surprised by Roosevelt's strong measures.

 American intelligence activities against Japan were also insufficient. The unique nature of Japan's civil-military relations (in an old paper, Huntington conducted a detailed comparative analysis of prewar civil-military relations in the United States, Germany, and Japan. I believe his analysis of Japan is basically correct. However, due to a lack of materials (he had friends translate Japan-related materials into English for him to read. Times were different, so there was a limit to the amount that could be translated, and financial issues were likely also involved) and the language barrier, his analysis may appear insufficient in light of current circumstances), and the relationship between Emperor Showa and the military, the Cabinet and the Army General Staff, Prime Minister Humimaro Konoe and Foreign Minister Yōsuke Matsuoka, and Army Minister Tojō Hideki and the Army General Staff. 

 If the United States had conducted sufficient intelligence activities regarding the centers of power in Japan, such as the relationship between Emperor Showa (Hirohito) and the military, the relationship between the Cabinet and the Army General Staff, the relationship between Prime Minister Konoe and Foreign Minister Yōsuke Matsuoka, and the relationship between Army Minister Hideki Tojō and the Army General Staff, the US government may not have proposed conditions that were either unacceptable to the Japanese side, or impossible to implement even if accepted, given the unique relationships between Emperor Showa and the political and military sectors.

 

 Furthermore, if the Japanese side had received accurate information from the center of American power, the Japanese government might not have reacted with shock and rage to the sudden presentation of the Hull Note, and its long list of unilateral and difficult-to-implement conditions, by beginning preparations for war.

 The Hull Note was drafted by Comintern spies (it was in the Soviet Union's national interest to pit Britain and America against Japan in the Far East and wear them down). If the Japanese side had been vaguely aware of this (if there had been a secret cooperation system between Japanese and American intelligence agencies), they might have been able to respond differently.

 In today's world, life and death depend on intelligence.

 However, intelligence organizations have a very bad image in Japan.

 The prewar "Tokkō" (Special Higher Police) and postwar "Kōan" (Public Security Intelligence Agency) are strongly associated with the image of "bad guys." 

 The average Japanese person has the impression that the prewar "Special Higher Police (called "Tokkō") and the postwar "Public Security Intelligence Agency (called "Kōan")" were violent organizations that gathered together only cunning and misbehaving people, targeted and surveilled Japanese people, and oppressed the Japanese people and Japanese society.

 Not a single member of the "Special Higher Police" was punished (disciplined) after the war. Apparently, the Americans (not the Allied forces) considered them useful for their "anti-communist" purposes, so they were all acquitted and disappeared, largely anonymous, without a trace (perhaps they just infiltrated somewhere and continued committing the same crimes again?).

 The same can be said about the postwar "Public Security Intelligence Agency." 

 In Japan, people remain afraid to say anything about the postwar "Public Security Intelligence Agency." The media also reports nothing. It is a black box organization.

 I believe that Japan's version of the CIA will be an even more twisted and insidious version of the Kōan, an even more vicious version of the Stasi. 

 In other words, I predict that it will be an organization that is a combination of the Kōan and the Stasi.

 I fear that it will create a group of people who, under the premise that anti-Japanese sentiment is not a crime, will bare their fangs at their own people and will feel no qualms about committing any kind of despicable crime.

END

To strengthen government intelligence, the LDP holds its first meeting... supporting discussions toward the creation of a "National Intelligence Agency."

Published November 14 (Fri) 21:37

https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/8d1deb46acd052ebbcaca3f703527c3719ada99e

Excerpt

7 comments

Yomiuri Shimbun Online

Policy Research Council Chairman Kobayashi (center right) delivers a speech (at LDP headquarters on the 14th)

 On November 14, 2025, the LDP held the first meeting of its "Intelligence Strategy Headquarters" at party headquarters to strengthen the government's intelligence (information gathering and analysis) functions. The government plans to establish a "National Intelligence Agency" to serve as a command center, and the LDP will also organize issues and support discussions.

 At the meeting, Kobayashi, Chairman of the Policy Research Council, who has been appointed as head of the headquarters, stated that strengthening intelligence functions is essential to ensuring national interests, and emphasized that "it will enable us to formulate more precise strategies in diplomacy and security." 

 He listed the following as issues to be considered:

　〈1〉 strengthening the government's command center functions; 

　〈2〉 drastically strengthening external intelligence-gathering capabilities; 

　〈3〉 establishing a system to prevent foreign interference.

 At the first meeting, former Director-General of the National Security Secretariat, Kitamura Shigeru, explained the current situation and issues surrounding Japan's intelligence system. Attendees expressed opinions on the need for strengthening functions and how human resources should be developed.

 Strengthening intelligence functions is one of the signature policies of the Takaichi administration. The coalition agreement between the LDP and the Japan Restoration Party clearly states that a National Intelligence Agency will be established during next year's ordinary Diet session.

 The Strategic Headquarters will discuss the specifics of the National Intelligence Agency's authority and functions and compile recommendations.

[Related Articles]

The LDP Saitama Prefectural Chapter expels Secretary-General Kotani Itsuo... He misappropriated 27.95 million yen in prefectural chapter funds for personal use, calling it "unprecedented."

The LDP's Foreign Affairs Committee calls for "non-participation" in Japan-China friendship events... Chairman Takagi states, "We will take a firm stance."

The LDP and the Japan Innovation Party will hold talks this year to revise the three security treaty documents... Relaxing export restrictions on defense equipment will also be discussed.

Onoda: "We will take a firm stance while drawing a line between xenophobia and nationalism." The LDP establishes a three-point committee on foreign policy... Seeking to attract "hardcore conservatives"

Last updated: 11/14 (Fri) 10:47 PM

Yomiuri Shimbun Online

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5  sak

1 day ago

The government's true colors are showing.

■Currently, public safety and security information is handled by the Cabinet Intelligence and Research Office, the Public Security Bureau, the National Police Agency, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and the Minister of Defense. A bill to centralize and oversee these functions is scheduled to be submitted to next year's ordinary Diet session.

 This is the same move as the creation of the Ministry of Home Affairs to prepare for war.

■Ministry of Home Affairs:

 Disbanded and abolished by GHQ after the war. Prefectural Special Higher Police were subordinate organizations.

 It also led and supervised the national movement during the Total National Mobilization Movement. It was the highest government agency.

 The Total National Mobilization Movement was a militaristic policy implemented by the Imperial Japanese Government in September 1937 (Showa 12) to suppress public discontent and encourage cooperation in the war effort, as the Sino-Japanese War intensified and increased the burden on people's lives. 

 The government established the Imperial Rule Assistance Association and the Intelligence Bureau. This was a policy to control people's lives and thoughts.