Thursday, March 26, 2026

"RED SKY" (2013, USA) 〜〜The world is not a Hollywood movie?

Martes, March 24, 2026:
 I watched the following movie in my Japanese-style Washitsu room last night.
 Recorded on a USB-HDD (registration number 3) connected to a DIGA (2017 model). Aired on BS Nippon Television on December 11, 2022, at 8:00 PM. Sunday Road Show "RED SKY" (2013, USA. Original language: English. Japanese subtitles).

 It was interesting. 
 It's not uncommon to find British and American films, or Japanese anime, that, when viewed years later, seem to have been 10, 20, 30 years, or even more, ahead of their time.
 This film is one of them. While the film's theme is different from the "war of aggression against Iran" currently being waged by the United States, watching the opening scene makes one wonder if the filmmakers were predicting events 13 years later.

 The actors involved in international politics—Russia, Turkey, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Israel, Azerbaijan, and the CIA—are similar to the current situation.


 Incidentally, a few days ago, the Qatari Minister of Education addressed the US President and the Israeli Prime Minister in a social media post.


 「To Mr. Trump and Mr. Netanyahu: Stop speaking on our behalf. Stop using us to justify your agenda. We do not want to be "liberated" by you. We just want to be left alone.
  Stop inciting war.
  Your failure in school and your Hollywood education are your own fault. It is not our responsibility. 
  The world is not a Hollywood movie.」

 Lolwah Rashid Al-Khater
 https://x.com/Lolwah_Alkhater?lang=ja
(Original language is Arabic. Translated from Japanese to English. Because there were unnatural parts in the Japanese text machine-translated from Arabic, the author modified, supplemented, and paraphrased some parts before translating to English.)

 cf:
  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lolwah_Al-Khater
  https://www.gco.gov.qa/en/state-of-qatar/state-institutions/council-of-ministers/members-of-the-cabinet/minister-of-education-and-higher-education/


 Her point seems to be:
 "Isn't it because the American president 'failed' in school that he received his education in Hollywood? But Hear (the Middle East) is not Hollywood. I hope Mr. Trump doesn't try to imitate Hollywood."

 I don't know if President Trump was "educated" (had a significant influence on his formative years) by Hollywood movies.
 I also don't know if he "failed" academically (meaning he didn't achieve the results he desired in academics, sports, music, art, extracurricular activities, etc?).

 If "modern schools" or "modern education" are ultimately just places to standardize and homogenize the nation, bureaucratically imposing "discipline and training" so that men are destined for the military and corporate activities, and women for becoming good wives and mothers, then it can be said that individual talents can flourish outside of formal schooling.

 Of course, we have much to learn from movies, dramas, documentaries, anime, and comics (not just Hollywood). Highbrow works of art aren't the only things that are beneficial for "education."

 However, even if that's true in general, wouldn't Miss (or Mrs.) Lolwah Rashid Al-Khater's message resonate not only with people in the Middle East, but with people all over the world? 

 On the other hand, there is also a man (in Japan) who, using the same "Hollywood movies" analogy, criticize the Iranian government from the opposite perspective.



https://mainichi.jp/articles/20260312/k00/00m/030/267000c
March 13, 2026, 7:00 AM (Last updated March 13, 2026, 7:00 AM). Paid article.

【Israel's Ambassador to Japan, Gilad Cohen, in Chiyoda Ward, Tokyo.】
March 10, 2026

 Israel's Ambassador to Japan, Gilad Cohen, in an interview with the Mainichi Shimbun, expressed his view on the new Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, stating, "He is a very hardline leader who is continuing the radical line of his father."

 The Ambassador added, "As long as he calls for the destruction of Israel, Israel cannot accept him." The ambassador emphasized that the conflict with Iran is a "fight for survival."

 Israeli media, citing local officials, reported that "the Israeli government may kill the successor again."

 Ambassador Cohen stated, "I will not comment on what we intend to do." He asserted that Mojtaba "supports the oppression of his own people. He is targeting Israel and other Gulf states and is trying to acquire nuclear weapons, just like his father."

 Regarding the selection of the successor, the ambassador pointed out, "In Iran, one bad person after another comes along. Iran is like a Matryoshka doll (Russian folk art)."
 He added, "I hope that one of the leaders who emerges from within the Matryoshka dolls will truly change the situation."

 The ambassador to Japan stated, "To believe that negotiation and diplomacy are the only way to bring about world peace is a 'Fairytale Land' and 'Hollyw
ood World'." he declared.



 Which one is more "Hollywood-like"?

Monday, March 23, 2026

The Death of Iran has been postponed for five days.

 The threat to destroy Iran's infrastructure, including power plants, and massacre Iranian civilians (hospitals and welfare facilities would also be blacked out) has been postponed for five days.

 President Trump had announced the Death of Iran 48 hours later (March 24, 8:44 AM Japan time) (from March 22).
"48 Hrs" (1982, USA)
"48 Hrs" (1982, USA) 😨

 An Iranian negotiating partner, intimidated by President Trump's threat, called President Trump. He then had a "productive conversation" with the Iranian government's negotiating partner, postponing the infrastructure bombing for five days.

 However, according to an official statement from the Iranian government, "the Iranian government has not negotiated with the United States, either directly or indirectly." The Iranian government claims that President Trump is spreading fake news on social media as a way to buy time and engage in "psychological warfare."


 It is well known that Clausewitz, in "On War," argued that defense is the best method of attack. Clausewitz, having studied the Napoleonic Wars, emphasized the importance of defensive warfare.

 Even in modern warfare, where air and nuclear power are crucial, the fundamental advantage of defensive warfare remains unchanged. The Ukrainian military has demonstrated the effectiveness of tactics that involve allowing the enemy to gain the initiative while simultaneously drawing them into one's own territory, thereby inflicting casualties.

 In fact, the Iranian military is using inexpensive drones for unmanned attacks, depleting the US military's expensive interceptor missiles.

 Unlike Iraq, which is mostly flat land, Iran's territory is protected by natural fortifications. It is difficult for foreign countries to deploy ground troops to Iran.

 Furthermore, Iran has approximately 500 power plants linked together in a triangular pattern. If the US military were able to destroy most of Iran's power plants, the Iranian military would be unable to access its missile silos.

 However, the main force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps is not located in Tehran, but deep in the vast mountainous region. It seems virtually impossible to force the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps to surrender through airstrikes alone.

 To put it in extreme terms, even if the US military were to launch around 10 tactical nuclear weapons at major Iranian cities, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' ability to retaliate would remain intact. Considering the high morale of the Iranian people, they are highly likely to withstand air attacks (conversely, the morale of the US military is declining).

 Even in modern warfare, air and naval forces are supplementary forces. It is difficult to achieve ultimate victory in war without deploying ground forces to seize enemy territory, not just through assassinations of key figures or airstrikes (cf. Julian S. Corbett, Some Principles of Maritime Strategy (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 1988)).

 In the Vietnam War, no matter how many airstrikes the US launched, they could not defeat the North Vietnamese army using guerrilla tactics. Conversely, in the Iraq War, the rapid deployment of ground forces led to the war ending quickly.

 Venezuela, from the US perspective, is more like a "front door" than a "backyard," making it relatively easy to "subjugate" it. However, this should be considered a geopolitically exceptional case (Cuba, while struggling considerably, is still holding on).

 Iraq and Iran have quite different geographical characteristics. Iran is vast, surrounded by mountains on all sides, and its major cities are interconnected in a network. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps is likely to launch guerrilla attacks from the surrounding mountains against invading US ground forces, potentially leading to a protracted war.

 In short, Iran can be described as having a 360-degree "Kill Zone" covering its entire territory (cf. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kill_zone).

 Currently, the majority of MAGA idolize and believe in Mr. Trump as the "savior of humanity," and it is estimated that nearly 80% of Republican "supporters" (not Republicans) "support" the war against Iran (conversely, nearly 80% of Democratic "supporters" oppose the war against Iran, resulting in a close split in public opinion overall). While it's possible that agents from US intelligence agencies (presumably not the CIA) are using "SAKURA" to manipulate public opinion online, this is likely only a small part of the problem.

 However, if US military casualties increase in the future, the above figures could change and potentially affect the midterm elections in the fall.

 The US government may be hoping to use the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament as a negotiating partner to make the Iranian government a puppet, but many Iranian parliamentarians are former members of the Revolutionary Guard Corps. It will not be easy for the US government to bring about regime change (democratization) in Iran, or to turn the Iranian government into a US puppet regime (like the Venezuelan government).

 Conversely, if Iran destroys the seawater filtration plants of neighboring countries and Israel, as it has warned, the situation will become desperate.

 My prediction is that President Trump will either continue relentless airstrikes to delay the deployment of ground troops as much as possible, or conversely, declare victory unilaterally at an appropriate time and withdraw.





https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116269822349947644
Avatar
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump

If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP

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Mar 22, 2026, 8:44 AM





https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116272810363139207
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Avatar Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump

Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has is the Radical Left, Highly Incompetent, Democrat Party! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DJT

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Mar 22, 2026, 9:24 PM

https://www.threads.com/@meidastouch/post/DWL-wFMEaNb/trump-posts-that-after-the-death-of-iran-americans-greatest-enemy-is-now-the





 Iran denies talks with US following Trump’s remarks on ‘productive conversations’
 Iranian source says ‘no dialogue’ with Washington as Trump announces pause in strikes on energy infrastructure
|23.03.2026 - Update : 23.03.2026

 Iran denies talks with US following Trump’s remarks on ‘productive conversations’Iranian diplomats and the delegation are seen after the indirect talks between Iran and the US with Oman acting as mediator, with messages exchanged, in Geneva, Switzerland on February 26, 2026. The third round of nuclear negotiations between Iran and the US, held in Geneva, Switzerland, with Oman acting as mediator, has been suspended.

 Iran on Monday denied holding any talks with the US, contradicting remarks by US President Donald Trump that recent “productive conversations” had taken place between the two sides.

 The semi-official Mehr news agency, citing an Iranian source, said there is “no dialogue” between Tehran and Washington.

 The source said Trump’s comments were part of his efforts “to lower energy prices and buy time to implement military plans.”

 The Iranian source acknowledged that regional countries have put forward initiatives aimed at reducing tensions.

 “We are not the party that started this war, and all such demands should be directed to Washington,” he added.

 Trump said Monday that he has ordered a 5-day postponement of all strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure, citing “very good and productive” talks with Tehran over the past two days.

 “I am pleased to report that the United States of America and the country of Iran have had, over the last two days, very good and productive conversations regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East,” Trump said on his social media platform Truth Social.

 Trump added that based on the “tenor and tone of these in-depth, detailed, and constructive conversations, which [sic] will continue throughout the week," he has instructed the Department of Defense to postpone all military strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for a five-day period.

 The pause is subject to the success of the ongoing meetings and discussions, he added.

 This comes as regional escalation has continued to flare since the US and Israel launched a joint offensive on Iran on Feb. 28, killing so far over 1,340 people, including then-Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

 Tehran has retaliated with drone and missile strikes targeting Israel, along with Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf countries hosting US military assets, causing casualties and damage to infrastructure while disrupting global markets and aviation.

 Anadolu Agency website contains only a portion of the news stories offered to subscribers in the AA News Broadcasting System (HAS), and in summarized form. Please contact us for subscription options.
Related topics

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-denies-talks-with-us-following-trump-s-remarks-on-productive-conversations-/3875925

https://www.bloomberg.com/jp/news/articles/2026-03-23/TCCPVZKIJHBK00





https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116278232362967212
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7617 replies
Avatar Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump


I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS REGARDING A COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION OF OUR HOSTILITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST. BASED ON THE TENOR AND TONE OF THESE IN DEPTH, DETAILED, AND CONSTRUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS, WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, I HAVE INSTRUCTED THE DEPARTMENT OF WAR TO POSTPONE ANY AND ALL MILITARY STRIKES AGAINST IRANIAN POWER PLANTS AND ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE FOR A FIVE DAY PERIOD, SUBJECT TO THE SUCCESS OF THE ONGOING MEETINGS AND DISCUSSIONS. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER! PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP

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Mar 23, 2026, 8:23 PM






Iranian territory

Wednesday, March 18, 2026

🐵 An orphaned Japanese monkey still seems be bullied.🐒

 According to a news report on television last night, Mr. Punch, an orphaned Japanese monkey (belonging to the monkey enclosure at Ichikawa Municipal Zoological and Botanical Garden), has finally managed to separate from his orangutan (stuffed toy), and the orangutan is already gone. 
 This might have been a bit disappointing for IKEA.

 However, the disadvantage of Mr. Punch's birth as an orphan remains unchanged, and he is still frequently bullied by other young male monkeys.

 In Japanese macaque society, it is normal for an orphan, an outsider abandoned by their parents, to be ostracized and become a target of bullying. It is also normal for those with higher status and power to bully and dominate those below them within the strict hierarchical structure of their society. Otherwise, Japanese macaque society could not function.

 The news of a baby Japanese macaque being bullied is being reported daily on prime-time news programs, even receiving special coverage, creating a nationwide uproar—a truly bizarre social phenomenon.

 One theory suggests that, due to the Chinese government's dictator's orders to seize pandas, a replacement idol (advertising figurehead) for the zoo was needed. The "pitiful orphaned baby Japanese macaque" appeared as the convenient candidate, becoming a huge sensation.

 Now, tourists from all over the world come to Ichikawa Municipal Zoo to see the orphaned Japanese macaque. For the Zoo, Mr. Punch has become a cash cow. The Zoo must be extremely grateful to the Chinese government's dictator.

 It's truly heartbreaking to see Japanese people who see the orphaned macaque at the zoo sympathize with it, empathize with it, desperately support it, and post videos and photos on YouTube and Instagram daily. It's a truly strange phenomenon. 

 Am I the only Japanese person who thinks, "Isn't this something you guys have been doing every day since the beginning of your lives, whether at school or work, out of your own free will? Why would you need to pay money to go to the zoo and look at it?"

Felicidades Venezuela 🏆. Saludos a Venezuela 🍻

 La final del CMB comenzará hoy (18) a las 9:00 (hora de Japón). Venezuela vs. América. 

 Después de que se cometiera un crimen tan horrible el día de Año Nuevo, ¿quién en el mundo hubiera pensado que dos meses después, los dos países estarían peleando en la final del CMB? 

 Además de tener la alineación de bateo más fuerte del mundo, Venezuela también tenía un gran cuerpo de lanzadores. Mantuvieron la alineación de bateo estadounidense a tres hits en nueve entradas. 

 Fue un gran partido. Fue la final más acalorada y emocionante en la historia del CMB. 

 Los jugadores del equipo estadounidense también estuvieron geniales y empataron el marcador con un dramático jonrón en la parte baja de la octava entrada. Como se esperaba de Estados Unidos. 

 Sin embargo, los jugadores venezolanos tenían una atmósfera única de espíritu y tenacidad, y estaban un paso por delante de los jugadores estadounidenses en términos de energía mental. 

 Los jugadores venezolanos mostraron a los fanáticos del béisbol de todo el mundo el orgullo, dignidad y la determinación del pueblo venezolano. 

 La NPB también tiene jugadores venezolanos, pero me gustaría ver jugadores más prometedores de Venezuela. Deberíamos tener mucho que aprender de ellos.




 The WBC final will begin today (18th) at 9:00 (Japan time). Venezuela vs. America.

 After such a horrific crime was committed on New Year's Day, who in the world would have thought that two months later, the two countries would be fighting in the WBC final?

 In addition to having the world's strongest batting lineup, Venezuela also had a great pitching staff. They held the American batting lineup to three hits in nine innings.

 It was a great match. It was the most heated and exciting final in WBC history.

 The players on the American team were also great, and they tied the score with a dramatic home run in the bottom of the 8th inning. As expected from America.

 However, the Venezuelan players had a unique atmosphere of spirit and tenacity, and were one step ahead of the American players in terms of mental energy.

 Venezuelan players showed baseball fans around the world the pride, dignity and determination of the Venezuelan people.

 NPB also has Venezuelan players, but I would like to see more promising players from Venezuela. We should have a lot to learn from them.

Monday, March 16, 2026

¡Felicitaciones, Venezuela✌ ¡Y sigan con el buen trabajo, Venezuela👍

 Clásico Mundial de Béisbol. Cuartos de final. El partido Venezuela vs. Japón de anteayer.

 Venezuela es fuerte. Su alineación de bateo es de primera. Todos los jugadores rebosaban espíritu de lucha. Su seriedad era incomparable a la de los jugadores japoneses.

 El equipo japonés contaba con una alineación repleta de jugadores de Grandes Ligas, pero parecían cautelosos ante la posibilidad de lesionarse en el partido de exhibición, ya que sería contraproducente si afectara su inicio de temporada en las Grandes Ligas. Francamente, les faltaba motivación.

 Los jugadores venezolanos tenían una sed de éxito incomparablemente mayor.

 Ayer (hora de Japón), Estados Unidos derrotó a República Dominicana en semifinales y avanzó a la final.

 Hoy, si Venezuela derrota a Italia en semifinales, se enfrentará a Estados Unidos en la final. El mundo entero está pendiente de su duelo.

 El partido Venezuela vs. Italia comienza hoy a las 9:00 a. m., hora de Japón. El juego comenzará pronto.

 Aunque deseo que Italia tenga un buen desempeño, realmente quiero ver a Venezuela vs. Estados Unidos en la final.

 Como dato curioso, si Irán participa en la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 que se celebrará en Estados Unidos y Canadá (el Sr. Trump dijo que les "daba la bienvenida" junto al presidente de la FIFA, pero dos días después, en un discurso, afirmó que no era "apropiado" que vinieran a Estados Unidos porque no podía garantizar la seguridad de los jugadores), e Irán termina segundo en su grupo, y Estados Unidos (que participa como país anfitrión) también termina segundo, entonces Irán y Estados Unidos se enfrentarán en cuartos de final.
Si bien la gente de todo el mundo querría ver ese partido, el gobierno iraní ha manifestado su intención de boicotearlo.

 Si Irán boicotea e Irak ocupa su lugar (Italia y China también parecen querer participar), entonces, de forma similar al caso de Irán, si Irak termina segundo en su grupo, podría enfrentarse a Estados Unidos en cuartos de final.

 ¡Qué extraño giro del destino!




 WBC. Quarterfinals. The Venezuela vs. Japan game from the day before yesterday.
 Venezuela is strong. The Venezuelan batting lineup is top-notch. All the players were brimming with fighting spirit. Their level of seriousness was on a different level than the Japanese players. 
 The Japanese team had a lineup full of Major Leaguers, but they seemed cautious about getting injured in the exhibition match, as it would be counterproductive if it affected their start in the Major League season. Frankly speaking, they lacked motivation. 
 The Venezuelan players had an incomparably stronger hunger for success.

 Yesterday (Japan time), the USA defeated the Dominican Republic in the semifinals to advance to the final.

 Today, if Venezuela defeats Italy in the semifinals, they will face the USA in the final. The whole world is watching their battle.

 The Venezuela vs. Italy match starts at 9 AM Japan time today. The game will begin soon.

 While I want Italy to do well, I really want to see Venezuela vs. the USA in the final.

 As a side note, if Iran participates in the FIFA World Cup 2026 held in the USA and Canada (Mr. Trump said he "welcomes" them on the steps with the FIFA president, but two days later in a speech he said it was "not appropriate" for them to come to the USA because he couldn't guarantee the players' safety), and Iran finishes second in their group stage, and the USA (who are participating as the host nation) also finishes second, then Iran and the USA will face each other in the quarterfinals. 
 While people all over the world would want to see that match, the Iranian government has indicated its intention to boycott.

 If Iran boycotts and Iraq takes its place (Italy and China also seem to want to participate), then, similar to the Iran case, if Iraq finishes second in their group stage, they could potentially face the USA in the quarterfinals.

 What a strange twist of fate!

Friday, March 13, 2026

Watch what happens to these deranged scumbags today.


https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116219996530067941

 I'm pasting the original text as an image file because I don't want to be sued like the BBC for allegedly "falsifying" a portion of the text.

 "for 47 years" likely means 47 years have passed since 1979, when Ayatollah Khomeini overthrew the corrupt monarchy and launched the "Iranian Revolution." The "47" is a play on words with the 47th president. Who noticed this numbering?

 Perhaps due to my lack of English proficiency, I didn't understand the meaning of "scumbag."

 After researching it online, I found that:

 "Scumbag" is a combination of "scum" (meaning rubbish or foam) and "bag." This word is slang that began to be used in the United States around the 1960s-1970s. Originally used as a euphemism for a condom (used), it evolved into a derogatory term meaning "human scum" or "a very despicable person." 

 That's what they say.

 The French president is expected to project an image of "elegance," so if the president were to use such slang, their approval rating would likely plummet.

 The British prime minister is expected to project an image of "intelligence," so if the prime minister were to use vulgar slang, they would likely be heavily criticized by parliament and the media.

 The prime ministers of Germany and Canada are serious and don't even tell jokes, let alone use slang.

 Japanese politicians, to begin with, have an abnormally (pathologically) low level of language ability.

 Among the G7 countries, perhaps only the United States and Italy are "tolerant" enough to allow their leaders to use vulgar jokes and slang?

 President Trump made countless offensive remarks during his four-year first term, yet he was re-elected. I don't know if it's because ordinary people felt a sense of familiarity with him, seeing him as a "nice guy we'd want to have a beer with," due to his mastery of slang and crude jokes, but it's certainly a phenomenon unique to America.

 While his behavior might not be commendable, from my Japanese perspective, there's something about it that I envy.




https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1156592/US--and-Greek-owned-tankers-ablaze-after-Iran-claims-underwater-drone-strike-in-Iraqi-waters

US- and Greek-owned tankers ablaze after Iran claims ‘underwater drone’ strike in Iraqi waters
 ・Iran claims ‘underwater drone’ attack on two tankers near Basrah; one dead, 38 rescued
 ・Both vessels ablaze; Iraqi oil port operations suspended
 ・Maersk-operated containership also struck off Jebel Ali

Friday, March 6, 2026

Ranking of winners and losers in the “Iran War”

As of March 6, 2026, here is my assessment of the outcome of the suddenly erupting "Iran War."


《Winners》
 1. Israel
 2. Saudi Arabia
 3. United States

《Losers》
 1. Russia
 2. China
 3. Japan
 4. South Korea
 5. India
 6. Lebanon
 7. Iran

《The outcome is still unclear》
   Ukraine


 At this point, everyone should already understand that Israel is the biggest winner. The question is why the American president was manipulated by the Israeli prime minister. It's unlikely to be simply because "his eldest daughter's husband is Jewish."

 The "Iran War" is sure to cause oil prices to soar for the time being. Oil-producing countries will benefit, at least in the short term.

 In some cases, Russia could also benefit from rising oil prices and become a "winner" (reap the benefits). While China is not dependent on Russia, India and smaller countries in Central Asia and Eastern Europe are dependent on Russian crude oil, which could increase Russia's economic influence and political voice in these countries.

 On the other hand, Russia has been dependent on Iran since the outbreak of the Ukraine war. If a pro-American regime were to emerge in Iran, Russia would lose its means of evading Western economic sanctions.

 If Russia intends to continue the war against Ukraine without agreeing to the return of territories such as the Crimean Peninsula, a complete withdrawal from Ukrainian territory, payment of reparations, or the extradition of war criminals, Russia's "loss" of Iran could be a major disadvantage. The United States would likely take advantage of Russia's weaknesses in ceasefire negotiations for the Ukraine war.

 However, for the United States (and Japan as well), the greatest strategic "enemy" is not Russia, but China. It is unlikely that Russia, which relies on primary industry, will become a superpower in the future. Even if Russia can manufacture terrifying new weapons that seem like something out of science fiction and intimidate neighboring countries, or operate secretly as an arms dealer, it will be difficult for it to unite anti-Western (anti-democratic) forces and demonstrate political and economic leadership.
 From the perspective of the United States (and Japan as well), Russia is likely viewed not as an "enemy" but as a potential partner (for building a China containment network).

 It will depend on the extent to which the Iranian government (president and military) and their successor (perhaps Ayatollah Khamenei's son?) can contain the IRGC and enter into negotiations with the United States, but if the IRGC turns all neighboring countries against each other, neighboring countries "join the war," and Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, Japan and South Korea will become "defeated nations." Soaring prices will become unstoppable.

 This could have an impact on the administration of Prime Minister Takaichi, who enjoys an astonishingly high approval rating. In some cases, it is not impossible that a political situation that pleases the Chinese government could emerge.

 The timing of Israel and the United States' attack on Iran was opportune. Currently, neither Russia nor China can afford to provide military support to Iran, and they are preoccupied with their own affairs. Furthermore, because Iran (the Revolutionary Guard Corps) is allegedly responsible for the deaths of thousands of ordinary people who participated in anti-government demonstrations, the United States can raise the banner of justice and capitalize on the anti-government sentiment (anti-IRGC) among Iranian citizens.
 If the United States were to weaken or neutralize the IRGC and successfully establish a pro-American regime in Iran (regime change), it could be said to have emerged victorious. However, conversely, if Iran (the Revolutionary Guard Corps) puts up a stronger-than-expected resistance, the Republican Party could suffer a defeat in the US midterm elections this fall. The president's approval rating could also fall further.

 India, which relies on Russian crude oil, would be in a difficult position if Russia were to raise oil prices (using them as a bargaining chip to gain war support).

 Lebanon's use of Hezbollah to confront Israel became the cause of its involvement in the "Iran War." The Lebanese people likely view Israel's actions as unreasonable barbarism, as they were subjected to a sudden, unilateral attack by Israel and their civilians were massacred. However, Israel is obsessed with the idea that it "cannot sleep peacefully" unless it exerts coercive control over the entire Middle East region through overwhelming military power, and believes it is waging a "just" war against potential terrorist groups.

 I predict that Iran will successfully navigate this war, minimizing the losses of its "defeat" while maintaining the core of its political system. Iran must be aware that democratic camps exhibit political fragility in a "long-term war" (as was the case with the United States, Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, and Japan after the outbreak of the Ukraine War). Iran will likely seek to engage in a protracted war (a war of attrition) while gradually releasing its war resources, and wait for an opportunity to negotiate with the United States. If the "Iran War" were to drag on, soaring prices, economic turmoil, and tax increases could alienate the public (leading to falling approval ratings) in America's allies, leading to successive changes in government. Iran will likely be aiming for this.
 If that happens, Iran's "defeat" may not be as severe.

 The outcome of the Ukraine war is unclear. If Iran becomes more pro-American, it would deal a blow to Russia. However, as mentioned above, if Iran (the Revolutionary Guard Corps) persists and the war is prolonged, democratic governments are likely to come under pressure from their citizens due to factors such as soaring prices. When pressure to "stop supporting another country's war when we're going through such difficult times" is expressed in the form of approval ratings, democratic governments become weak.

 At present, it is difficult to judge how a war with Iran will affect Ukraine.


 The above "assessment" is made not from the perspective of right or wrong, but from the realities of international politics. 
 Personally, I do not consider Israel's actions to be "just." Not to mention the "accidental bombing" of an Iranian girls' elementary school, massacring nearly 200 female students and teachers, should be considered a war crime. I believe the FBI should investigate this case against all those involved, including CIA operatives. (I believe this can be treated as a murder case, rather than a "violation of international law." In Japanese criminal law theory, "mistake of objectivity" is said to not negate intent.)

 However, no matter what I say, it may not resonate with people who say, "International law has nothing to do with me," or "We live in a world ruled by force."

"Haru's New Year" (Canada, 2018)

Viernes, 6 de marzo de 2026: 
 Last night, I watched the following movie in my Washitsu room.
 It was recorded on a USB-HDD (registration number 3) connected to a DIGA (2017 model). It aired on BS12 on January 31, 2026, at 8:40 PM. SATURDAY SHORT THEATER "Haru's New Year" (Canada, 2018, 19 minutes long, original language in English and Japanese, with Japanese subtitles for the English portion).


 We Japanese are not good at foreign languages. In Major League Baseball, the Olympics, and the Soccer World Cup, participants from countries other than Japan, young players and middle-aged and older staff, communicate normally with players, staff, and referees from various countries. 
 On the other hand, whenever I see Japanese people, they stick together only with other Japanese people and are unable to communicate with people from other countries. They turn their faces towards the ground or the feet of the other person (Japanese people cannot make eye contact with others), and only shake hands almost silently and expressionlessly. In interviews, coaches and athletes from other countries, even those from non-English speaking countries, routinely answer in English, but Japanese people speak in Japanese.

 Even on the international political stage, in Japan's case, even the Foreign Minister cannot speak English. At gatherings of world leaders such as the G7 and G20, Japanese politicians are always isolated, sitting alone with their heads bowed, or simply smiling and silently turning their faces away in greeting (which gives the impression of rudeness...).

 People of foreign descent born and raised in Japan (those with one or both parents having roots in countries other than Japan) also become typical "Japanese." Koreans, Chinese, North Koreans, and people from Southeast Asian countries often excel at foreign languages, displaying remarkable "foreign language talent" from a Japanese perspective. However, Koreans and Chinese residents in Japan, born and raised in Japan, become "ordinary Japanese." People of Indian, Sri Lankan, Vietnamese, Filipino (many of whom marry into rural Japanese farming families), and Thai descent, when they are born and raised in Japan, become "ordinary Japanese." Even those who are Caucasian or Black in appearance, when born and raised in Japan, develop the same level of foreign language proficiency as "ordinary Japanese."

 This is a truly puzzling phenomenon. I am unable to provide a linguistic, cognitive, anthropological, sociological, or genetic analysis.

 Some believers in "linguistic nationalism" might say, "That's fine," but the fact remains that Japanese people stand out. Above all, the limited opportunities for them to utilize their talents (singers, actors, etc.) are a great waste.

 A long-standing historical analysis suggests that "because Japan has no history of colonial rule, Japanese people are poor at acquiring foreign languages." However, this theory has not yet been scientifically proven (based on historical and linguistic comparisons with countries that have experienced "colonial rule").

 There is no evidence that Russians or the various ethnic groups of Central Asia are proficient in Mongolian. Ordinary Filipinos do not speak Spanish. In the "foreign dynasties" where northern nomadic tribes ruled the Han Chinese, a "Sinicization policy" was almost always adopted (the ruling ethnic group "assimilated" the ruled ethnic group).

 While there is a connection between "colonial rule" under modern imperialism and linguistic "assimilation policies" (ethnic cleansing policies under the pretext of civilization), many cases cannot be explained solely by this.

Thursday, March 5, 2026

🐵 A orphan Japanese monkey still seems alone. 🐒

 Mother Japanese macaque abandonment of their children is a phenomenon that occasionally occurs in other zoos in Japan, so it should not be that unusual. However, people around the world who saw the baby Japanese macaque clinging to a stuffed orangutan and dragging it around on video likely empathized with him.

 In the video, the stuffed animal appears to have no hair or breasts. Mr. Punch is about the same size as his mother, soft, and even in two or three months, he instinctively clings to warm objects and seems reluctant to let go of his "mother."

 IKEA is making the most of Mr. Punch's advertising power. IKEA donated countless "orangutan stuffed animals" to Mr. Punch. Looking at the photos, there is a huge variety of "orangutans" in color, size, and facial features. It's unclear why dozens of different types of orangutans live inside a furniture store. 
 It will be interesting to see how Mr. Punch reacts if he is given one of these stuffed animals.

 It is unclear whether Mr. Punch recognizes the faces or colors of stuffed animals. How would he react if he were given a Teddy Bear or a Hello Kitty stuffed animal?

 In any case, considering his future, it seems he needs to be weaned off his stuffed animals, not just his parents, as soon as possible.

 For now, it seems he's still sleeping alone with his IKEA stuffed animal. It may be some time before Mr. Punch is able to sit, sleep, and eat with his friends.

 The Punch incident has been a great success for Ichikawa City Zoo and Botanical Garden's self-promotion. What's more, it has provided even greater global publicity. IKEA has now become something of an important "corporate sponsor" of Mr. Punch.

 There is no IKEA where I live (there are apparently 54 stores in the US, but only 12 in Japan), so I have never been to an IKEA store, but I wonder why they sell orangutan stuffed animals?




https://jp.reuters.com/video/watch/idOWjpvC4T24BH4ASI245SY7B16ZIT4YR/?dicbo=v2-XuddThi
JP Archive

 Baby Japanese macaque "Punch"'s IKEA stuffed toy, which he uses as a parent, sells out worldwide (Japanese subtitles, February 24th)
February 25, 2026

 Panch, a baby Japanese macaque abandoned by his mother at Ichikawa City Zoo and Botanical Gardens in Chiba Prefecture, has become a hot topic after clinging to an IKEA orangutan stuffed toy as a mother figure. The video has gone viral, causing the same type of stuffed toy to sell out in IKEA stores not only in Japan but also in Singapore and other countries (no narration).




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=utylkPzDLCA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PsYned2gmUs

https://apnews.com/video/punch-is-growing-up-and-ready-to-say-farewell-to-his-prized-stuffed-orangutan-toy-0dd23990544b40a4992babd4b808e85c

https://x.com/AP/status/2026214263283449983

https://www.sfgate.com/news/world/article/punch-the-orphan-macaque-is-outgrowing-his-21956418.php

https://www.instagram.com/p/DU9QgFlDGfd/

https://jp.reuters.com/video/watch/idOWjpvC4T24BH4ASI245SY7B16ZIT4YR/?dicbo=v2-XuddThi

https://edition.cnn.com/world/punch-monkey-ikea-stuffed-toy-spc

https://news.jp/i/1396652578791899497

https://apnews.com/article/japan-baby-monkey-zoo-7911e0597837b97199a810601f91c35d

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DVRiQ2FDX4R/

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Killing five birds with one stone:East Asia is caught in the crossfire of the Trump administration's China containment strategy.

 Large castles from Japan's Sengoku period (not mountain castles, but flat castles built on flat land) were surrounded by two moats (Hori): an outer moat (Sotobori) and an inner moat (Uchibori). A moat is an artificially constructed pool of water, similar to a pond or swamp.
 If the outer moat were filled in, it could pose a serious security risk to the castle's main enclosure (Honmaru).

 The most famous example in Japanese history is the Winter Siege of Osaka. Due to a ploy by Tokugawa Ieyasu, Toyotomi Hideyori filled in the outer moat of Osaka Castle. This later forced a major change in the security policy of Osaka Castle (the Toyotomi clan), placing them at a severe disadvantage (Summer Siege of Osaka).

 In modern international security strategies, the outer moat is the economy, while military power has an aspect of the inner moat.

 The United States is implementing a strategy to fill in China's outer moat, using military force to gradually contain China's economy and starve it out.

 Both the Venezuelan "drug" issue and the Iranian "uranium enrichment" issue can be seen as mere pretexts for the United States.

 The problem would be if Iran were to blockade the northern Strait of Hormuz and prevent oil shipments from Iran's neighboring countries. This would likely harm not only China, but the entire East Asia region.

 A US website has published a document quantifying the "world's dependence on the Strait of Hormuz." An excerpt is included below.


https://energynewsbeat.co/hormuz-dependency-by-country-a-critical-energy-chokepoint-under-scrutiny/

The ranking of key countries' import dependencies on oil transiting Hormuz (based on 2024-2025 data, as percentages of total crude oil imports) is as follows:

 Japan: 75%

 South Korea: 60%

 India: 50%

 China: 45-50%

 European countries (this article is unclear whether this refers to EU member states (including Turkey), Western European countries, or all of Europe): 10-20% (varies by country)

 United States: 7-8%

 Four countries (Japan, India, China, and South Korea) account for 75% of Hormuz oil flows.


The dependency on Hormuz LNG is as follows:

 China: 25-30%

 India: 20-25%

 South Korea: 15-20%

 Japan: 10-15%

 Europe: Approximately 10%

 United States: "Negligible" and "Minimal imports from MEG."


 Incidentally, this article makes the following points about the United States:

 「United States: Minimal impact overall, with only 2% of consumption tied to Hormuz.」


 In today's world, energy policies and transportation methods have become diversified, so it may be difficult to fully understand the country's energy dependence on the Middle East based on the figures from this single source. However, it is clear that Japan's dependence on the Middle East is exceptionally high among major countries.

 Furthermore, according to the above statistics, Japan, China, India, and South Korea alone account for 75% of the crude oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz.

 Although not mentioned in the source, the Israeli economy is not dependent on primary or secondary industries and enjoys a geographical advantage, so a closure of the Strait of Hormuz would likely not be of much concern to Israel.

 In addition, it is Japanese companies that drive the Chinese economy. Japanese companies make money by exporting (reimporting) products manufactured in China to Japan or selling them to other countries such as the United States. While the results of these economic activities are reflected as "domestic" in the gross domestic product figures, which can be deceptive (China's GDP is roughly four times that of Japan, but this does not mean that China has an economic power four times that of Japan), the Chinese and Japanese economies are inextricably linked.

 As such, Japan's 75% dependence and China's 50% dependence could be a double whammy for the Japanese economy.

 From the Trump administration's perspective, this is a case of "killing five birds with one stone" (meaning that one stone can shoot down five birds). A single stone thrown with "Epic Fury" can knock down five large birds.

 In short, Japan has failed in its economic security policy. As the saying goes, "expanding your basket" is the basis of security policy. "Expanding your basket" means diversifying. "Diversification" refers not only to the number of countries with which we export and import, but also to transportation methods and energy sources.

 It's too late now to lament the fact that we shut down all of Japan's nuclear power plants, opposed wind power generation (I also oppose wind power generation on land, but not to building it at sea (as long as it doesn't affect fisheries)), and opposed solar power generation (since Japan would have to import solar panels from China, we would indirectly become dependent on China for our energy supply).

 We should have diversified our sources of rare earth supplies and crude oil transportation routes much sooner.

 Japan had no concept of economic security and was only concerned with making money in the moment. We didn't anticipate the worst-case scenario. 
 We will soon pay the price for that.





“一石五鸟” 〜〜东亚卷入特朗普政府的中国遏制战略

 日本战国时代的大型城堡(并非山地城堡,而是建于平地上的城堡)通常被两道护城河环绕:外护城河和内护城河。“护城河”是指人工建造的类似池塘或沼泽的水池。
 填平“外护城河”会对城堡的“本丸”(主城)构成严重的安全威胁。

 日本历史上最著名的例子是大阪冬围。由于德川家康的计谋,丰臣秀赖填平了大阪城的外护城河。这迫使大阪城(丰臣氏)的安保策略发生重大改变,使其处于极其不利的境地。

 在现代国际安全战略中,“外护城河”指的是经济,“军事实力”则指的是“内护城河”。

 美国正在实施一项旨在填平中国“外护城河”的战略,并动用武力逐步遏制中国经济,如同扼杀其于水火之中。
 
 委内瑞拉的“毒品”问题和伊朗的“铀浓缩”问题,不过是美国的借口罢了。

 问题在于,如果伊朗封锁霍尔木兹海峡北岸,阻止石油从邻国运输,那么受损的不仅是中国,整个东亚地区都可能处于不利地位。

 一家美国网站发布了量化“世界对霍尔木兹海峡依赖程度”的数据。以下摘录部分内容。


https://energynewsbeat.co/hormuz-dependency-by-country-a-critical-energy-chokepoint-under-scrutiny/

主要国家对途经霍尔木兹海峡的石油进口依赖度(基于2024-2025年数据,以原油进口总量的百分比表示)如下:

  日本:75%

  韩国:60%

  印度:50%

  中国:45-50%

  欧洲国家(本文未明确指出是指欧盟成员国(包括土耳其)、西欧国家还是整个欧洲):10-20%(因国家而异)

  美国:7-8%

  四个国家(日本、印度、中国和韩国)占霍尔木兹海峡石油流量的75%。


对天然气进口(霍尔木兹液化天然气)的依赖程度如下:

  中国:25-30%

  印度:20-25%

  韩国:15-20%

  日本:10-15%

  欧洲:约10%

  美国:“可忽略不计”和“从中东进口量极少”。


 顺便一提,这篇文章指出美国的情况如下:

 「美国:总体影响极小,仅有2%的消费量与霍尔木兹液化天然气相关。」


 鉴于当今能源政策和运输方式的多元化,仅凭这一单一来源的数据可能难以全面了解日本对中东的能源依赖程度。然而,显而易见的是,在世界主要国家中,日本对中东的能源依赖程度异常高。

 此外,仅日本、中国、印度和韩国就占霍尔木兹海峡原油运输量的75%。

 虽然上述文件中未提及,但以色列经济并不依赖于第一产业或第二产业,且拥有地理优势,因此霍尔木兹海峡的封锁可能不会对以色列造成特别大的影响。

 此外,推动中国经济发展的是日本企业。日本企业通过将中国制造的产品出口(再进口)到日本或销往美国等其他国家来获利。就“国内生产总值”(GDP)而言,这些经济活动的成果在中国被计入“国内”数据,这可能导致一些误导性数据(中国的GDP约为日本的四倍,但这并不意味着中国的经济实力是日本的四倍)。然而,可以说日中两国经济“一蓮托生”(=密不可分)。

 因此,日本75%的对外依存度和中国50%的对外依存度都可能对日本经济造成双重打击。

 从特朗普政府的角度来看,这可以看作是“一石五鸟”。一颗“史诗狂怒”投下的石头,击落了五只大鸟。

 简而言之,日本的经济安全政策失败了。正如人们常说的,“扩大经济篮子”是安全政策的基础。“扩大经济篮子”意味着多元化。“多元化”不仅包括进出口伙伴的数量,还包括运输方式和能源来源。

 现在后悔关闭日本所有核电站、反对风力发电(我本人反对陆上风力发电,但我不反对海上风力发电(只要不影响渔业))以及反对太阳能发电(这意味着从中国进口太阳能电池板,从而间接使日本的能源供应依赖于中国)已经太晚了。

 日本本应更早实现稀土供应来源和原油运输路线的多元化。当时的日本对经济安全毫无概念,只顾着在任何情况下赚钱,完全没有预料到最坏的情况。

 未来,我们将为此付出沉重的代价。

Sunday, March 1, 2026

It is essential to have policies that provide a quality educational environment for the children of Chinese immigrants.

 The Chinese Communist government doesn't seem to understand this (they consider their own countrymen stupid), but highly educated, wealthy Chinese people have a better impression of Japan than of the Communist dictatorship. If they use the official procedure of "exile," the Chinese government would send "assassins" to kill them, so they use the form of "immigration" for work purposes.

 I believe it is urgent to improve and enhance the system for accepting Chinese international students, businessmen, sports students, trainees in the entertainment and agricultural industries, as well as their families and relatives, in Japan (including education (for their children's generation), medical care (for their parents), health insurance systems, housing supply, employment support, and support for resolving daily life issues).

 Once China's dictatorial regime collapses and the country becomes "democratized," it is predicted that 100 million people will come to Japan from China. If China's communist dictatorial regime eventually collapses (although I don't think they would be foolish enough to dig their own grave by invading Taiwan, giving Western countries an excuse to bomb mainland China and launch a "decapitation operation"), and Western countries "divide and rule" and "democratize" China, it is predicted that a huge number of Chinese people will flee to neighboring countries such as Taiwan, South Korea, Vietnam, the Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia, Nepal, Bangladesh, Thailand, Indonesia, Russia, India, Japan and so on. 

 Of the countries mentioned above, Japan offers the best conditions for Chinese people. Singapore and Malaysia have good public safety, are wealthy, and are politically, socially, and economically stable, with no racial or religious discrimination or persecution, and English is widely spoken. For these reasons, these two countries are also highly sought after by Japanese people, ranking highly as "countries where people would like to spend their retirement years." However, due to land limitations, there are limits to the number of immigrants that can be accepted.

 There are already nearly one million Chinese in Japan. As of 2026, of the "foreigners" residing in Japan (excluding those who have lived in Japan for seven years or more or have married a Japanese person and acquired Japanese citizenship), the number of Chinese residing in Japan will surpass that of Koreans (the combined number of people with South Korean and North Korean nationality). Currently, the largest number of foreign residents in Japan are Chinese (of course, this does not include Taiwanese).

 For Chinese people, it is easy to travel between their home country where their elderly parents remain, where Chinese characters are used (Vietnamese uses the alphabet, while South Korea's national language policy prohibits the use of Chinese characters and instead requires the use of Hangul), where they do not face racial discrimination or religious persecution as "heathens," and where there are many long-standing Chinese communities (mutual aid organizations), making Japan an easy country to immigrate to.

 Japanese Government has decided to accept 1,231,900 foreign workers (skilled workers) by the end of fiscal year 2028 (March 2029, as the new fiscal year in Japan begins in April).

 Japan's labor market has essentially achieved "Full Employment" for quite some time. Labor shortages are becoming serious in every field in Japan, and there is a surplus of work. 
 When I walk around town in the morning, I see many Chinese people cycling to work in factories. I can often see South Asian men working in Japan, and there are also South Asian male workers at construction sites. The man who delivers the morning paper on his motorbike in the area where I live late at night is also a South Asian man. At the dental clinic I visit regularly, there is a Chinese (or Hong Kong or Taiwanese) dental hygienist working there (she normally treats Japanese patients as well, but when a Chinese (or Hong Kong or Taiwanese) patient comes to the clinic, other staff members call her and she responds immediately).

 As things stand, it is safe to say that there is little need to worry about foreigners with language difficulties being unable to find work in Japan.

 The problem is accepting their children's generation. Japanese junior and senior high schools are worse than jails or prison camps, treating humans like slaves and endlessly reproducing creatures that are not even as intelligent as monkeys, let alone cockroaches, so "humans" often have trouble adapting (this is why there are so many support facilities specializing in children who don't go to school, and why there are shuttles to and from these facilities everywhere).

 For this reason, there is a possibility that Chinese children will not be able to adapt to Japanese junior and senior high schools (although that would actually be more humane...).





【Chinese Immigrants】
Fed up with a fiercely competitive society?
Chinese families are migrating to Japan for education one after another. Cram school classes exclusively for Chinese students are booming.

 Among the students transferring from other countries, Chinese students are a prominent presence. According to statistics from fiscal year 2024, approximately three out of four foreign students transferring to elementary and junior high schools in Osaka City were from China. Cram schools with classes exclusively for Chinese students are also booming.

 What is the reason for the influx of Chinese immigrants to Japan?
 An increasing number of Chinese families are choosing to "migrate to Japan for education," attracted by the educational environment or to escape the fiercely competitive society within China.

 The head of a cram school in Osaka City said, "We couldn't keep up with the demand in regular classrooms alone." It seems word of mouth has spread among Chinese students. Since the end of 2023, the number of Chinese students enrolling at cram schools has skyrocketed. At some school buildings, Chinese children now account for roughly 20% of the student body.

 In the spring of 2024, special classrooms were set up to teach Chinese children how to read and write Japanese and Japanese etiquette. The Japanese language ability of Chinese students enrolling at the cram schools varies greatly, with some children understanding no Japanese at all.

 In the special classrooms, original teaching materials are used to teach Japanese reading, writing, and pronunciation at a first-grade level, as well as Japanese manners. After these classes, students move on to regular classrooms where Japanese children are also enrolled.
 The school principal mentioned above said, "We start by building the foundation for learning alongside Japanese students."

 Many of the Chinese children who enroll in the school aim to enter prestigious universities in Japan. Many also aspire to medical school. The principal said, "We often hear that they want to live in Japan in the future."

 Seeking a high-quality educational environment, In recent years, an increasing number of Chinese families have been moving to Japan. This is due to uniquely Chinese circumstances.

 In China, the belief that academic background determines lifetime earnings and whether one is successful or not in life remains deeply rooted. In China, entrance exam preparation begins at an early age, and there is a strong desire to attend a prestigious university.

 Japan, with its stable public safety and cultural similarities with China, is a popular destination for Chinese immigrants. It is not uncommon for families to accustom their children to Japanese from an early age, with the expectation that they will eventually find employment.

2025/1/3 (Sat) 19:30
https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/a194b6e5e0c9dd368b11341f6d0cd1c159ae31b8
Excerpt





〘制定政策为中国移民子女提供优质的教育环境至关重要〙

 中国共产党政府似乎并不理解这一点(他们认为自己的同胞愚昧无知),但受过高等教育、经济条件优渥的中国人对日本的印象远胜于对共产党独裁政权的印象。如果他们走官方的“流放”程序,中国政府会派“刺客”杀害他们,所以他们选择以工作为目的的“移民”方式入境。

 我认为,亟需完善和加强日本接纳中国留学生、商务人士、体育生、娱乐业和农业从业人员及其家属的制度(包括教育(针对其子女)、医疗保健(针对其父母)、医疗保险制度、住房供应、就业支持以及日常生活问题解决等方面的支持)。

 一旦中国的独裁政权垮台,国家走向“民主化”,预计将有1亿中国人移居日本。如果中国的共产主义独裁政权最终垮台(虽然我不认为他们会愚蠢到入侵台湾,从而给西方国家轰炸中国大陆并发动“斩首行动”的借口,最终自掘坟墓),而西方国家又对中国采取“分而治之”和“民主化”的策略,预计届时将有大量中国人移居尼泊尔、邻近的台湾、孟加拉国、泰国、印度尼西、韩国、越南、菲律宾、新加坡、马来西亚、俄罗斯、印度亚和日本等国。

 在上述国家中,日本为中国人提供了最佳的生活条件。新加坡和马来西亚公共安全良好,经济富裕,政治、社会和经济稳定,不存在种族或宗教歧视或迫害,英语也广泛使用。正因如此,这两个国家也深受日本人的青睐,在“人们希望安享晚年的国家”排名中名列前茅。然而,由于土地资源有限,日本能够接收的移民数量也受到限制。

 目前,日本已有近百万华人。截至2026年,在日本居住的“外国人”(不包括在日本居住七年以上或与日本人结婚并获得日本国籍的人)中,华人数量将超过韩国人(韩国和朝鲜国籍人口总和)。目前,在日本居住的外国居民中人数最多的是中国人(当然,这不包括台湾人)。
 对于华人来说,往返于居住地越南(与年迈的父母团聚)、使用汉字(越南语使用字母,而韩国的语言政策禁止使用汉字,要求使用韩文)、不会因被视为“异教徒”而遭受种族歧视或宗教迫害,以及拥有众多历史悠久的华人社区(互助组织)等诸多优势,使得日本成为一个易于移民的国家。

 日本政府已决定在2028财年结束前(即2029年3月,因为日本新的财年从4月开始)接收1,231,900名外国劳工(技术工人)。

 日本的劳动力市场实际上已经实现了“充分就业”相当长一段时间了。日本各行各业都面临着严重的劳动力短缺,工作岗位却过剩。我早上在街上走走,经常看到很多中国人骑自行车去工厂上班。在日本,经常可以看到南亚裔男性工作,建筑工地上也有南亚裔男性工人。在我居住的地区,每天深夜骑摩托车送早报的也是一位南亚裔男性。在我常去的那家牙科诊所,有一位中国(或香港、台湾)籍的牙科保健师(她通常也为日本患者提供服务,但当有中国(或香港、台湾)籍患者前来就诊时,其他工作人员会打电话给她,她会立即响应)。

 就目前情况来看,可以说无需担心语言障碍的外国人无法在日本找到工作。

 问题在于如何接纳他们的子女一代。日本的初高中比监狱或劳改营还糟糕,把人当奴隶使唤,无休止地繁殖着智力甚至不如猴子,更别提蟑螂的生物,因此“人类”往往难以适应(这就是为什么有那么多专门照顾辍学儿童的辅助机构,以及为什么到处都有往返这些机构的班车)。

 因此,中国孩子可能无法适应日本的初高中(尽管这实际上更人道一些……)。




【中国移民】厌倦了竞争激烈的社会?中国家庭为了求学,纷纷移居日本。专门为中国学生开设的补习班蓬勃发展。

 在从其他国家转学的学生中,中国学生占据了相当大的比例。根据2024财年的统计数据,大阪市小学和初中转学的外国学生中,约有四分之三来自中国。专门为中国学生开设的补习班也蓬勃发展。

 大量中国移民涌入日本的原因是什么?

 越来越多的中国家庭选择“赴日留学”,他们或是被日本的教育环境所吸引,或是为了逃离国内竞争激烈的社会。

 大阪市一家补习学校的负责人表示:“单靠普通教室根本无法满足需求。”看来,口碑传播已经在中国学生中迅速蔓延。自2023年底以来,报读补习学校的中国学生人数激增。在一些学校,中国学生约占学生总数的20%。

 2024年春季,一些学校开设了专门的教室,教授中国学生日语读写和礼仪。报读补习学校的中国学生日语水平参差不齐,有些孩子甚至完全不懂日语。

 在这些专门的教室里,学校使用原创教材,教授一年级水平的日语读写和发音,以及日本礼仪。这些课程结束后,学生们会进入普通教室,与日本学生一起上课。

 上述校长表示:“我们首先要为学生们打好基础,让他们能够与日本学生一起学习。”

 许多就读于这所学校的中国学生都渴望考入日本的顶尖大学,也有不少人立志成为医生。校长说:“我们经常听到他们说,将来想在日本生活。”

 近年来,为了追求高质量的教育环境,越来越多的中国家庭移居日本。这与中国独特的社会环境密切相关。

 在中国,人们根深蒂固地认为学历决定一生的收入,决定一个人的人生成败。在中国,高考准备从小就开始,人们渴望考入名牌大学。

 日本拥有稳定的公共安全,文化上也与中国有诸多相似之处,因此成为中国移民的热门目的地。许多家庭从小就让孩子接触日语,希望他们将来能够找到工作。

[产经新闻]
2025年1月3日(周六)19:30
https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/a194b6e5e0c9dd368b11341f6d0cd1c159ae31b8
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